Bancolombia Sa Adr Stock Price Prediction

CIB Stock  USD 32.70  0.21  0.64%   
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Bancolombia's share price is approaching 46 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Bancolombia, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

46

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Bancolombia's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Bancolombia SA ADR, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Bancolombia's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.006
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.29
EPS Estimate Current Year
5.8952
EPS Estimate Next Year
5.8933
Wall Street Target Price
34.1806
Using Bancolombia hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bancolombia SA ADR from the perspective of Bancolombia response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Bancolombia to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Bancolombia because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Bancolombia after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 32.71  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Bancolombia Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
31.1932.7634.33
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
31.3132.8834.46
Details
11 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
30.2133.2036.85
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.401.471.56
Details

Bancolombia After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Bancolombia at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bancolombia or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Bancolombia, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Bancolombia Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Bancolombia's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bancolombia's historical news coverage. Bancolombia's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 31.14 and 34.28, respectively. We have considered Bancolombia's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
32.70
32.71
After-hype Price
34.28
Upside
Bancolombia is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bancolombia SA ADR is based on 3 months time horizon.

Bancolombia Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Bancolombia is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bancolombia backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bancolombia, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.04 
1.57
  0.01 
  0.01 
6 Events / Month
10 Events / Month
In about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
32.70
32.71
0.03 
826.32  
Notes

Bancolombia Hype Timeline

On the 30th of November Bancolombia SA ADR is traded for 32.70. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Bancolombia is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 32.71 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.03%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.04%. The volatility of related hype on Bancolombia is about 461.76%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 32.71. The company reported the last year's revenue of 20.88 T. Total Income to common stockholders was 6.12 T with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 20.63 T. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days.
Check out Bancolombia Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Bancolombia Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Bancolombia's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bancolombia's future price movements. Getting to know how Bancolombia's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bancolombia may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BCHBanco De Chile 0.03 9 per month 0.00 (0.24) 1.86 (2.35) 6.77 
BBDOBanco Bradesco SA(0.01)9 per month 0.00 (0.28) 2.62 (3.96) 10.00 
BSACBanco Santander Chile(0.09)11 per month 0.00 (0.17) 2.23 (2.57) 6.65 
IFSIntercorp Financial Services 0.17 8 per month 0.91  0.07  2.96 (2.22) 5.56 
BAPCredicorp 0.68 10 per month 1.35  0.01  2.64 (2.21) 6.10 
BSBRBanco Santander Brasil(0.01)12 per month 0.00 (0.34) 1.79 (3.67) 8.65 
CFBCrossFirst Bankshares(0.30)10 per month 1.65 (0.05) 3.51 (2.91) 18.20 
CFBKCF Bankshares 3.13 7 per month 1.76  0.14  6.00 (2.78) 12.35 
BLXForeign Trade Bank(0.36)9 per month 1.04  0.03  3.02 (1.68) 8.08 
BANFBancFirst 0.92 10 per month 1.45  0.06  3.37 (2.90) 20.44 
MGYRMagyar Bancorp 0.01 8 per month 0.43  0.1  1.90 (1.22) 3.88 
BHLBBerkshire Hills Bancorp(0.09)6 per month 1.25  0.03  2.87 (1.83) 17.01 

Bancolombia Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Bancolombia price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bancolombia using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bancolombia charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Bancolombia Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Bancolombia stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Bancolombia SA ADR, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Bancolombia based on analysis of Bancolombia hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Bancolombia's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Bancolombia's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.0037820.01740.02830.0347
Price To Sales Ratio7.125.55.575.85

Story Coverage note for Bancolombia

The number of cover stories for Bancolombia depends on current market conditions and Bancolombia's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bancolombia is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bancolombia's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Bancolombia Short Properties

Bancolombia's future price predictability will typically decrease when Bancolombia's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Bancolombia SA ADR often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Bancolombia's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bancolombia's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding240.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments-28 T

Complementary Tools for Bancolombia Stock analysis

When running Bancolombia's price analysis, check to measure Bancolombia's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bancolombia is operating at the current time. Most of Bancolombia's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bancolombia's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bancolombia's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bancolombia to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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