Caredx Inc Stock Price Prediction

CDNA Stock  USD 20.89  0.48  2.25%   
The RSI of Caredx's stock price is about 60 suggesting that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Caredx, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 60

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Caredx's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Caredx Inc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Caredx's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.03
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.5
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.57
Wall Street Target Price
32.8571
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.01
Using Caredx hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Caredx Inc from the perspective of Caredx response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Caredx using Caredx's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Caredx using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Caredx's stock price.

Caredx Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Caredx's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Caredx. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Caredx stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
22.4447
Short Percent
0.1095
Short Ratio
5.44
Shares Short Prior Month
4.4 M
50 Day MA
22.7554

Caredx Inc Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Caredx's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Caredx. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Caredx can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Caredx Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Caredx's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Caredx.

Caredx Implied Volatility

    
  1.01  
Caredx's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Caredx Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Caredx's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Caredx stock will not fluctuate a lot when Caredx's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Caredx to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Caredx because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Caredx after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 21.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Caredx contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Caredx Inc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0631% per day over the life of the 2025-05-16 option contract. With Caredx trading at USD 20.89, that is roughly USD 0.0132 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Caredx's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Caredx Inc options at the current volatility level of 1.01%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out Caredx Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.8026.6030.46
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.0221.8825.73
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
31.5534.6738.48
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.100.120.14
Details

Caredx After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Caredx at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Caredx or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Caredx, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Caredx Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Caredx's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Caredx's historical news coverage. Caredx's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.14 and 24.86, respectively. We have considered Caredx's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
20.89
21.00
After-hype Price
24.86
Upside
Caredx is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Caredx Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.

Caredx Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Caredx is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Caredx backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Caredx, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.20 
3.89
  0.10 
  0.22 
12 Events / Month
8 Events / Month
In about 12 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
20.89
21.00
0.53 
793.88  
Notes

Caredx Hype Timeline

Caredx Inc is currently traded for 20.89. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.1, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.22. Caredx is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 21.0 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.53%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.2%. The volatility of related hype on Caredx is about 348.04%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.67. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 280.32 M. Net Loss for the year was (190.28 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 205.71 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 12 days.
Check out Caredx Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Caredx Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Caredx's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Caredx's future price movements. Getting to know how Caredx's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Caredx may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CSTLCastle Biosciences 0.43 11 per month 0.00 (0.04) 3.70 (4.14) 23.12 
TWSTTwist Bioscience Corp(1.41)11 per month 3.54  0.01  6.08 (6.04) 18.27 
BDSXBiodesix(0.11)8 per month 0.00 (0.13) 6.67 (6.96) 29.63 
NTRANatera Inc(8.62)8 per month 2.33  0.02  4.36 (3.26) 13.39 
CRLCharles River Laboratories(1.85)8 per month 0.00 (0.06) 3.86 (3.26) 11.52 
GHGuardant Health 0.62 8 per month 2.82  0.13  6.28 (4.92) 32.66 
ILMNIllumina(1.93)8 per month 0.00 (0.19) 3.88 (5.47) 15.07 
MYGNMyriad Genetics 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.14) 4.14 (5.41) 17.26 
EXASEXACT Sciences(1.53)8 per month 2.18  0.02  5.86 (2.69) 16.36 
PSNLPersonalis(0.35)8 per month 5.21  0.06  9.82 (7.54) 60.83 
SERASera Prognostics 0.27 9 per month 0.00 (0.08) 7.17 (8.66) 33.33 
GTHGenetron Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
DRIODarioHealth Corp(0.05)6 per month 8.96  0.04  11.29 (12.66) 121.18 

Caredx Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Caredx price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Caredx using various technical indicators. When you analyze Caredx charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Caredx Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Caredx stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Caredx Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Caredx based on analysis of Caredx hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Caredx's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Caredx's related companies.
 2022 2023 2024 2025 (projected)
Payables Turnover11.297.929.119.39
Days Of Inventory On Hand62.5669.6862.7143.34

Story Coverage note for Caredx

The number of cover stories for Caredx depends on current market conditions and Caredx's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Caredx is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Caredx's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Caredx Short Properties

Caredx's future price predictability will typically decrease when Caredx's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Caredx Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Caredx's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Caredx's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding53.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments235.4 M

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When running Caredx's price analysis, check to measure Caredx's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Caredx is operating at the current time. Most of Caredx's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Caredx's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Caredx's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Caredx to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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