Burlington Stores Stock Price Prediction
| BURL Stock | USD 288.36 0.00 0.00% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
60
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.447 | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.73 | EPS Estimate Next Year 7.08 | Wall Street Target Price 315.3606 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.95 |
Using Burlington Stores hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Burlington Stores from the perspective of Burlington Stores response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Burlington Stores Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Burlington Stores' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Burlington. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Burlington can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Burlington Stores. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Burlington Stores' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Burlington Stores.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Burlington Stores to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Burlington because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Burlington Stores after-hype prediction price | USD 288.48 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Burlington |
Burlington Stores After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Burlington Stores at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Burlington Stores or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Burlington Stores, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Burlington Stores Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Burlington Stores' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Burlington Stores' historical news coverage. Burlington Stores' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 286.70 and 290.26, respectively. We have considered Burlington Stores' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Burlington Stores is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Burlington Stores is based on 3 months time horizon.
Burlington Stores Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Burlington Stores is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Burlington Stores backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Burlington Stores, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.13 | 1.80 | 0.11 | 0.03 | 9 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
288.36 | 288.48 | 0.04 |
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Burlington Stores Hype Timeline
Burlington Stores is currently traded for 288.36. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.11, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Burlington is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 288.48 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 0.04%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.13%. The volatility of related hype on Burlington Stores is about 920.45%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 288.39. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 9.72 B. Net Income was 339.65 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.52 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Burlington Stores Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Burlington Stores Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Burlington Stores' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Burlington Stores' future price movements. Getting to know how Burlington Stores' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Burlington Stores may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TJX | The TJX Companies | 0.19 | 8 per month | 0.78 | (0.05) | 1.42 | (1.60) | 3.58 | |
| GES | Guess Inc | 0.31 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 3.44 | (3.88) | 8.81 | |
| URBN | Urban Outfitters | (0.66) | 9 per month | 1.55 | (0) | 3.86 | (2.61) | 7.06 | |
| PLCE | Childrens Place | 0.71 | 11 per month | 6.09 | 0.14 | 24.62 | (11.60) | 107.65 | |
| HIBB | Hibbett Sports | (0.27) | 7 per month | 0.00 | 0.09 | 0.56 | (0.24) | 19.75 | |
| EXPR | Express | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 7.69 | (6.76) | 24.98 | |
| AEO | American Eagle Outfitters | (0.20) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 2.59 | (4.39) | 9.65 | |
| SCVL | Shoe Carnival | 0.04 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 5.16 | (5.85) | 16.24 | |
| BKE | Buckle Inc | 1.64 | 6 per month | 1.25 | 0.11 | 4.83 | (2.25) | 7.53 |
Burlington Stores Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Burlington price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Burlington using various technical indicators. When you analyze Burlington charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About Burlington Stores Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Burlington Stores stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Burlington Stores, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Burlington Stores based on analysis of Burlington Stores hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Burlington Stores's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Burlington Stores's related companies. | 2010 | 2014 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0355 | 9.55E-4 | 0.001043 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.12 | 1.97 | 0.76 |
Story Coverage note for Burlington Stores
The number of cover stories for Burlington Stores depends on current market conditions and Burlington Stores' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Burlington Stores is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Burlington Stores' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Burlington Stores Short Properties
Burlington Stores' future price predictability will typically decrease when Burlington Stores' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Burlington Stores often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Burlington Stores' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Burlington Stores' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 64.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 925.4 M |
Check out Burlington Stores Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Burlington Stock please use our How to buy in Burlington Stock guide.You can also try the Commodity Directory module to find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges.
Is Specialty Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Burlington Stores. If investors know Burlington will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Burlington Stores listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.447 | Earnings Share 6.62 | Revenue Per Share 159.623 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.134 | Return On Assets 0.0553 |
The market value of Burlington Stores is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Burlington that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Burlington Stores' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Burlington Stores' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Burlington Stores' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Burlington Stores' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Burlington Stores' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Burlington Stores is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Burlington Stores' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.