Dutch Bros Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

BROS Stock  USD 62.48  2.87  4.81%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Dutch Bros is 'Buy'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Dutch Bros given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Dutch Bros, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Dutch Bros Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Dutch Stock please use our How to Invest in Dutch Bros guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Dutch and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Dutch Bros. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.

Execute Dutch Bros Buy or Sell Advice

The Dutch recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Dutch Bros. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Dutch Bros or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Dutch Bros' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Dutch BrosBuy Dutch Bros
Buy

Market Performance

ModestDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Actively responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Dutch Bros has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.053, Jensen Alpha of 0.5008, Total Risk Alpha of 1.05, Sortino Ratio of 0.1142 and Treynor Ratio of 0.1344
Macroaxis provides unbiased investment recommendation on Dutch Bros that should be used to complement current analysts and expert consensus on Dutch Bros. Our trade advice engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investors' current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Dutch Bros is not overpriced, please confirm all Dutch Bros fundamentals, including its gross profit, short ratio, net asset, as well as the relationship between the total debt and beta . Given that Dutch Bros has a number of shares shorted of 5.2 M, we urge you to verify Dutch Bros market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Dutch Bros Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Dutch Bros had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Dutch Bros currently holds 723.15 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 2.33, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Dutch Bros has a current ratio of 0.48, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Dutch Bros' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
Dutch Bros has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 85.0% of Dutch Bros shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Disposition of 35596 shares by Travis Boersma of Dutch Bros at 77.6125 subject to Rule 16b-3

Dutch Bros Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Dutch Bros' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Dutch Bros' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Dutch Bros daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Dutch Bros price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Dutch Bros returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Dutch Bros.
Mean Return
0.25
Value At Risk
-5.21
Potential Upside
4.15
Standard Deviation
4.77
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Dutch Bros historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Dutch Stock Institutional Investors

The Dutch Bros' institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Dutch Bros' securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Joho Capital Llc2024-12-31
1.9 M
State Street Corp2024-12-31
1.8 M
Alliancebernstein L.p.2024-12-31
1.8 M
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-12-31
1.8 M
Renaissance Technologies Corp2024-12-31
1.4 M
Bank Of America Corp2024-12-31
1.4 M
Millennium Management Llc2024-12-31
1.3 M
Driehaus Capital Management Llc2024-12-31
1.3 M
Qube Research & Technologies2024-12-31
1.2 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-12-31
10.2 M
Fmr Inc2024-12-31
6.5 M
Note, although Dutch Bros' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Dutch Bros Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change To Inventory(4.6M)(7.7M)(15.8M)(7.7M)10.5M11.0M
Investments(45.6M)(121.1M)(192.6M)(220.6M)(212.1M)(222.7M)
Change In Cash16.1M(13.1M)1.7M113.4M159.8M167.8M
Free Cash Flow13.0M(38.1M)(128.0M)(88.5M)24.7M25.9M
Depreciation15.5M25.2M44.7M47.8M93.0M97.7M
Capital Expenditures40.6M118.4M187.9M228.5M221.7M153.4M
Net Income5.7M(120.0M)(19.3M)1.7M66.5M69.8M
End Period Cash Flow31.6M18.5M20.2M133.5M293.4M308.0M

Dutch Bros Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Dutch Bros or Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Dutch Bros' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Dutch stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.50
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.81
σ
Overall volatility
4.98
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Dutch Bros Volatility Alert

Dutch Bros shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Dutch Bros' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Dutch Bros' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Dutch Bros Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Dutch Bros' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Dutch Bros' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Dutch Bros and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Dutch Bros or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Dutch Bros' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Dutch Bros by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Dutch Bros to competition
FundamentalsDutch BrosPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0923-0.31
Return On Asset0.0364-0.14
Profit Margin0.03 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.06 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation7.58 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding116.25 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders8.41 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions85.34 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted5.2 M4.71 M
Price To Book12.90 X9.51 X
Price To Sales7.18 X11.42 X
Revenue1.28 B9.43 B
Gross Profit340.13 M27.38 B
EBITDA204.91 M3.9 B
Net Income66.45 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents35.6 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.61 X5.01 X
Total Debt723.15 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity2.33 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.49 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share4.66 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations246.43 M971.22 M
Short Ratio1.48 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.34 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth8.83 X4.89 X
Target Price84.25
Number Of Employees18 K18.84 K
Beta2.67-0.15
Market Capitalization9.19 B19.03 B
Total Asset2.5 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings19.67 M9.33 B
Working Capital154.87 M1.48 B
Net Asset2.5 B
Note: Disposition of 14640 shares by Dm Trust Aggregator, Llc of Dutch Bros at 78.8915 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Dutch Bros Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Dutch . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Dutch Bros Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Dutch Bros? Buying financial instruments such as Dutch Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Additional Tools for Dutch Stock Analysis

When running Dutch Bros' price analysis, check to measure Dutch Bros' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dutch Bros is operating at the current time. Most of Dutch Bros' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dutch Bros' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dutch Bros' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dutch Bros to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.