Bath Body Works Stock Price Prediction
BBWI Stock | USD 35.90 0.67 1.90% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
56
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.581 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.07 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.34 | Wall Street Target Price 44.809 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.36 |
Using Bath Body hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bath Body Works from the perspective of Bath Body response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Bath Body Works Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Bath Body's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Bath. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Bath can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Bath Body Works. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Bath Body's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Bath Body.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Bath Body to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Bath because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Bath Body after-hype prediction price | USD 35.85 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Bath |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bath Body's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Bath Body After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Bath Body at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bath Body or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Bath Body, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
Expected price to next headline |
Bath Body Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Bath Body's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bath Body's historical news coverage. Bath Body's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 32.58 and 39.12, respectively. We have considered Bath Body's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Bath Body is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bath Body Works is based on 3 months time horizon.
Bath Body Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Bath Body is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bath Body backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bath Body, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.31 | 3.27 | 0.05 | 1.96 | 11 Events / Month | 10 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
35.90 | 35.85 | 0.14 |
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Bath Body Hype Timeline
Bath Body Works is currently traded for 35.90. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 1.96. Bath is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 35.85. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.14%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.31%. The volatility of related hype on Bath Body is about 51.68%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 37.86. About 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.06. Bath Body Works last dividend was issued on the 22nd of November 2024. The entity had 1237:1000 split on the 3rd of August 2021. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Bath Body Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Bath Body Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Bath Body's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bath Body's future price movements. Getting to know how Bath Body's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bath Body may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
SPWH | Sportsmans | (0.17) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 9.09 | (6.37) | 17.82 | |
BGFV | Big 5 Sporting | 0.01 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 4.69 | (8.47) | 25.47 | |
WSM | Williams Sonoma | 4.44 | 8 per month | 1.73 | 0.08 | 3.41 | (3.07) | 29.00 | |
DKS | Dicks Sporting Goods | 1.31 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.97 | (3.16) | 7.73 | |
RH | RH | (8.62) | 10 per month | 1.62 | 0.11 | 4.95 | (2.84) | 29.32 | |
AZO | AutoZone | 73.92 | 8 per month | 1.19 | (0.1) | 2.14 | (1.68) | 6.36 | |
BBY | Best Buy Co | (0.72) | 9 per month | 1.77 | (0.04) | 2.26 | (3.09) | 18.06 | |
ULTA | Ulta Beauty | (0.22) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.89 | (3.24) | 8.40 | |
ORLY | OReilly Automotive | 9.31 | 9 per month | 0.84 | 0.03 | 1.40 | (1.55) | 7.77 | |
GPC | Genuine Parts Co | (0.15) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.85 | (2.36) | 23.82 | |
FIVE | Five Below | 0.56 | 12 per month | 2.92 | 0 | 5.40 | (4.34) | 16.58 | |
AAP | Advance Auto Parts | 2.53 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 5.43 | (4.63) | 15.49 | |
TSCO | Tractor Supply | 0.06 | 10 per month | 1.55 | (0.05) | 2.16 | (2.25) | 9.44 |
Bath Body Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Bath price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bath using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bath charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
About Bath Body Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Bath Body stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Bath Body Works, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Bath Body based on analysis of Bath Body hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Bath Body's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Bath Body's related companies. 2011 | 2014 | 2020 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0297 | 0.0643 | 0.0184 | 0.0362 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.09 | 0.96 | 1.33 | 1.66 |
Story Coverage note for Bath Body
The number of cover stories for Bath Body depends on current market conditions and Bath Body's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bath Body is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bath Body's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Bath Body Short Properties
Bath Body's future price predictability will typically decrease when Bath Body's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Bath Body Works often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Bath Body's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bath Body's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 229 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.1 B |
Complementary Tools for Bath Stock analysis
When running Bath Body's price analysis, check to measure Bath Body's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bath Body is operating at the current time. Most of Bath Body's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bath Body's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bath Body's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bath Body to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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