Bajaj Finance (India) Price Prediction
| BAJFINANCE | 6,576 66.50 1.02% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
33
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.104 | Wall Street Target Price 8 K | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.163 |
Using Bajaj Finance hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bajaj Finance Limited from the perspective of Bajaj Finance response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Bajaj Finance to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Bajaj because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Bajaj Finance after-hype prediction price | INR 6544.19 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Bajaj |
Bajaj Finance After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Bajaj Finance at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bajaj Finance or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Bajaj Finance, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Bajaj Finance Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Bajaj Finance's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bajaj Finance's historical news coverage. Bajaj Finance's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 6,543 and 7,233, respectively. We have considered Bajaj Finance's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Bajaj Finance is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bajaj Finance Limited is based on 3 months time horizon.
Bajaj Finance Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Bajaj Finance is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bajaj Finance backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bajaj Finance, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.18 | 1.58 | 31.71 | 0.97 | 5 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
6,576 | 6,544 | 0.48 |
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Bajaj Finance Hype Timeline
Bajaj Finance Limited is currently traded for 6,576on National Stock Exchange of India of India. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -31.71, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.97. Bajaj is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 6544.19. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 0.9%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.48%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.18%. The volatility of related hype on Bajaj Finance is about 29.34%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6,575. About 55.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Bajaj Finance was currently reported as 1403.26. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 248.57. Bajaj Finance Limited last dividend was issued on the 21st of June 2024. The entity had 5:1 split on the 8th of September 2016. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Bajaj Finance Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Bajaj Finance Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Bajaj Finance's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bajaj Finance's future price movements. Getting to know how Bajaj Finance's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bajaj Finance may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NSLNISP | NMDC Steel Limited | (0.95) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 2.83 | (3.21) | 9.48 | |
| UNIVAFOODS | Univa Foods Limited | 0.43 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.89 | |
| ADFFOODS | ADF Foods Limited | 38.77 | 1 per month | 2.50 | 0.08 | 6.13 | (4.09) | 19.18 | |
| VRAJ | Vraj Iron and | (7.58) | 1 per month | 2.30 | (0.02) | 5.46 | (3.52) | 21.92 | |
| SAPPHIRE | Sapphire Foods India | (2.00) | 2 per month | 1.79 | (0.04) | 4.06 | (2.90) | 11.91 | |
| BECTORFOOD | Mrs Bectors Food | (88.15) | 3 per month | 2.56 | 0.04 | 6.69 | (5.62) | 17.94 | |
| JINDALSTEL | Jindal Steel Power | 18.00 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.33 | (2.73) | 7.97 | |
| JSWSTEEL | JSW Steel Limited | (1.60) | 1 per month | 1.20 | (0.06) | 2.92 | (2.02) | 7.13 |
Bajaj Finance Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Bajaj price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bajaj using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bajaj charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Bajaj Finance Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Bajaj Finance stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Bajaj Finance Limited, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Bajaj Finance based on analysis of Bajaj Finance hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Bajaj Finance's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Bajaj Finance's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Bajaj Finance
The number of cover stories for Bajaj Finance depends on current market conditions and Bajaj Finance's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bajaj Finance is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bajaj Finance's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
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Bajaj Finance Short Properties
Bajaj Finance's future price predictability will typically decrease when Bajaj Finance's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Bajaj Finance Limited often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Bajaj Finance's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bajaj Finance's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 612.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 106.2 B |
Complementary Tools for Bajaj Stock analysis
When running Bajaj Finance's price analysis, check to measure Bajaj Finance's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bajaj Finance is operating at the current time. Most of Bajaj Finance's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bajaj Finance's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bajaj Finance's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bajaj Finance to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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