Booz Allen Hamilton Stock Price Prediction
| BAH Stock | USD 111.04 3.61 3.15% |
Momentum 31
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.313 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.6073 | EPS Estimate Current Year 6.3442 | EPS Estimate Next Year 7.0152 | Wall Street Target Price 154.5183 |
Using Booz Allen hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Booz Allen Hamilton from the perspective of Booz Allen response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Booz Allen using Booz Allen's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Booz using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Booz Allen's stock price.
Booz Allen Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Booz Allen's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Booz. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Booz Allen stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 149.3516 | Short Percent 0.0381 | Short Ratio 2.14 | Shares Short Prior Month 4.2 M | 50 Day MA 129.2412 |
Booz Allen Hamilton Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Booz Allen's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Booz. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Booz can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Booz Allen Hamilton. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Booz Allen's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Booz Allen.
Booz Allen Implied Volatility | 0.49 |
Booz Allen's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Booz Allen Hamilton stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Booz Allen's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Booz Allen stock will not fluctuate a lot when Booz Allen's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Booz Allen to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Booz because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Booz Allen after-hype prediction price | USD 111.38 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Booz contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Booz Allen Hamilton will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0306% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With Booz Allen trading at USD 111.04, that is roughly USD 0.034 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Booz Allen's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Booz Allen Hamilton options at the current volatility level of 0.49%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Booz |
Booz Allen After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Booz Allen at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Booz Allen or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Booz Allen, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Booz Allen Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Booz Allen's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Booz Allen's historical news coverage. Booz Allen's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 109.47 and 113.29, respectively. We have considered Booz Allen's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Booz Allen is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Booz Allen Hamilton is based on 3 months time horizon.
Booz Allen Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Booz Allen is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Booz Allen backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Booz Allen, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.45 | 1.92 | 1.79 | 1.03 | 7 Events / Month | 9 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
111.04 | 111.38 | 1.44 |
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Booz Allen Hype Timeline
On the 27th of February Booz Allen Hamilton is traded for 111.04. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -1.79, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -1.03. Booz is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 111.38. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 48.24%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -1.44%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.45%. The volatility of related hype on Booz Allen is about 83.64%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 110.01. About 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.29. Booz Allen Hamilton recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.63. The entity last dividend was issued on the 14th of February 2025. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Booz Allen Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Booz Allen Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Booz Allen's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Booz Allen's future price movements. Getting to know how Booz Allen's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Booz Allen may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HURN | Huron Consulting Group | (1.82) | 9 per month | 1.22 | 0.13 | 2.50 | (1.78) | 8.32 | |
| CRAI | CRA International | 3.17 | 8 per month | 2.39 | 0.03 | 2.85 | (3.03) | 16.10 | |
| FORR | Forrester Research | (0.32) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 2.75 | (3.72) | 15.73 | |
| EXPO | Exponent | (0.45) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 1.74 | (2.08) | 5.57 | |
| RGP | Resources Connection | 0.22 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.38 | (3.64) | 7.87 | |
| TRU | TransUnion | (0.50) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 3.28 | (2.93) | 10.19 | |
| EFX | Equifax | (2.83) | 9 per month | 2.16 | 0.01 | 2.89 | (1.88) | 12.85 | |
| FCN | FTI Consulting | (20.71) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 1.78 | (2.00) | 17.31 | |
| ICFI | ICF International | (1.54) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 2.70 | (3.42) | 9.25 | |
| VRSK | Verisk Analytics | (0.42) | 9 per month | 0.89 | 0.1 | 1.94 | (1.25) | 6.73 | |
| FC | Franklin Covey | (0.05) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 2.80 | (3.17) | 14.28 |
Booz Allen Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Booz price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Booz using various technical indicators. When you analyze Booz charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Booz Allen Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Booz Allen stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Booz Allen Hamilton, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Booz Allen based on analysis of Booz Allen hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Booz Allen's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Booz Allen's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0192 | 0.013 | 0.015 | 0.0142 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.32 | 1.82 | 1.64 | 1.72 |
Story Coverage note for Booz Allen
The number of cover stories for Booz Allen depends on current market conditions and Booz Allen's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Booz Allen is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Booz Allen's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Booz Allen Short Properties
Booz Allen's future price predictability will typically decrease when Booz Allen's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Booz Allen Hamilton often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Booz Allen's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Booz Allen's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 130.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 554.3 M |
Complementary Tools for Booz Stock analysis
When running Booz Allen's price analysis, check to measure Booz Allen's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Booz Allen is operating at the current time. Most of Booz Allen's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Booz Allen's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Booz Allen's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Booz Allen to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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