Aviat Networks Stock Price Prediction
| AVNW Stock | USD 15.83 0.16 1.02% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
25
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.84) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.54 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.27 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.47 | Wall Street Target Price 34.5 |
Using Aviat Networks hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Aviat Networks from the perspective of Aviat Networks response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Aviat Networks to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Aviat because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Aviat Networks after-hype prediction price | USD 16.35 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Aviat |
Aviat Networks After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Aviat Networks at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Aviat Networks or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Aviat Networks, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Aviat Networks Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Aviat Networks' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Aviat Networks' historical news coverage. Aviat Networks' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.50 and 22.20, respectively. We have considered Aviat Networks' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Aviat Networks is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Aviat Networks is based on 3 months time horizon.
Aviat Networks Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Aviat Networks is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Aviat Networks backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Aviat Networks, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.64 | 5.85 | 0.52 | 0.11 | 6 Events / Month | 10 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
15.83 | 16.35 | 3.28 |
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Aviat Networks Hype Timeline
Aviat Networks is presently traded for 15.83. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.52, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.11. Aviat is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 16.35 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price increase on the next news is projected to be 3.28%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.64%. The volatility of related hype on Aviat Networks is about 3517.03%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 15.94. Aviat Networks currently holds 52.18 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.01, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Aviat Networks Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Aviat Networks Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Aviat Networks' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Aviat Networks' future price movements. Getting to know how Aviat Networks' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Aviat Networks may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AUDC | AudioCodes | 0.1 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 4.39 | (3.37) | 20.39 | |
| SILC | Silicom | 0.25 | 4 per month | 2.53 | (0.04) | 3.93 | (3.35) | 18.76 | |
| AKTS | Akoustis Technologies | (0.01) | 4 per month | 7.79 | 0.06 | 14.87 | (13.84) | 36.03 | |
| GILT | Gilat Satellite Networks | 0.03 | 9 per month | 2.47 | 0.07 | 5.07 | (2.66) | 19.05 | |
| MYNA | Mynaric AG ADR | (0.03) | 9 per month | 4.13 | 0.1 | 14.29 | (7.19) | 25.89 | |
| KN | Knowles Cor | (0.08) | 9 per month | 1.70 | (0) | 2.56 | (3.10) | 12.11 | |
| CMTL | Comtech Telecommunications Corp | 0.08 | 8 per month | 6.59 | 0.03 | 12.63 | (8.43) | 40.77 | |
| ITRN | Ituran Location and | 0.27 | 8 per month | 1.04 | (0.03) | 1.90 | (1.69) | 6.35 | |
| KVHI | KVH Industries | 0.05 | 8 per month | 1.60 | 0.09 | 4.42 | (2.92) | 10.42 | |
| NTGR | NETGEAR | 1.19 | 9 per month | 1.53 | 0.13 | 5.28 | (3.74) | 34.93 | |
| CRNT | Ceragon Networks | (0.16) | 9 per month | 1.83 | 0.16 | 9.73 | (3.50) | 16.34 | |
| ADTN | ADTRAN Inc | 0.31 | 11 per month | 1.57 | 0.17 | 6.31 | (3.34) | 22.03 |
Aviat Networks Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Aviat price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Aviat using various technical indicators. When you analyze Aviat charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Aviat Networks Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Aviat Networks stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Aviat Networks, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Aviat Networks based on analysis of Aviat Networks hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Aviat Networks's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Aviat Networks's related companies. | 2011 | 2016 | 2022 | 2024 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 93.14 | 143.4 | 222.3 | 66.4 | PTB Ratio | 0.79 | 1.39 | 1.37 | 9.43 |
Story Coverage note for Aviat Networks
The number of cover stories for Aviat Networks depends on current market conditions and Aviat Networks' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Aviat Networks is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Aviat Networks' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Aviat Networks Short Properties
Aviat Networks' future price predictability will typically decrease when Aviat Networks' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Aviat Networks often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Aviat Networks' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aviat Networks' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 12.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 64.6 M |
Additional Tools for Aviat Stock Analysis
When running Aviat Networks' price analysis, check to measure Aviat Networks' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aviat Networks is operating at the current time. Most of Aviat Networks' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aviat Networks' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aviat Networks' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aviat Networks to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.