Ashland Global Holdings Stock Price Prediction

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 70.48 89.57 91.11 Details

Naive Forecast Low Next High 79.30 80.83 82.37 Details

11 Analysts Consensus Low Target High 90.00 98.90 109.78 Details

Earnings Estimates (0) Low Projected EPS High 0.50 0.64 0.70 Details

Ashland Global After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

Ashland Global Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Ashland Global Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Expected Return	Period Volatility	Hype Elasticity	Related Elasticity	News Density	Related Density	Expected Hype
0.20	1.55	0.17	0.31	9 Events / Month	7 Events / Month	In about 9 days

Latest traded price	Expected after-news price	Potential return on next major news	Average after-hype volatility
78.31	78.47	0.20	182.35   Notes

Ashland Global Hype Timeline

On the 28th of November Ashland Global Holdings is traded for 78.31. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.17, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.31. Ashland is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 78.47 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 182.35%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.2%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.2%. The volatility of related hype on Ashland Global is about 100.06%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 78.62. The company reported the last year's revenue of 2.11 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 169 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 668 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Ashland Global Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Ashland Global Related Hype Analysis

Ashland Global Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Ashland price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ashland using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ashland charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

The successful prediction of Ashland Global stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Ashland Global Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ashland Global based on analysis of Ashland Global hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.

The number of cover stories for Ashland Global depends on current market conditions and Ashland Global's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ashland Global is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ashland Global's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Ashland Global's future price predictability will typically decrease when Ashland Global's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Ashland Global Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Ashland Global's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ashland Global's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

When running Ashland Global's price analysis, check to measure Ashland Global's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ashland Global is operating at the current time. Most of Ashland Global's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ashland Global's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ashland Global's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ashland Global to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.