Alstria Office (Germany) Price Prediction

AOX Stock  EUR 7.64  0.06  0.78%   
The value of RSI of Alstria Office's stock price is roughly 63. This suggests that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 18th of December 2024. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Alstria, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

63

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Alstria Office's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Alstria Office and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Alstria Office's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with alstria office REIT AG, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Alstria Office hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of alstria office REIT AG from the perspective of Alstria Office response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Alstria Office to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Alstria because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Alstria Office after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 7.64  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Alstria Office Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.236.027.81
Details

Alstria Office After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Alstria Office at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Alstria Office or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Alstria Office, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Alstria Office Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Alstria Office's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Alstria Office's historical news coverage. Alstria Office's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 5.85 and 9.43, respectively. We have considered Alstria Office's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
7.64
7.64
After-hype Price
9.43
Upside
Alstria Office is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of alstria office REIT is based on 3 months time horizon.

Alstria Office Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Alstria Office is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Alstria Office backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Alstria Office, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.49 
1.79
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
7.64
7.64
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Alstria Office Hype Timeline

alstria office REIT is presently traded for 7.64on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Alstria is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.49%. %. The volatility of related hype on Alstria Office is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.64. The company last dividend was issued on the May 22, 2019. alstria office REIT had 1:1 split on the 11th of June 2009. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Alstria Office Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Alstria Office Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Alstria Office's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Alstria Office's future price movements. Getting to know how Alstria Office's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Alstria Office may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
O2FORIX JREIT INC 0.00 0 per month 0.85 (0.03) 2.04 (1.56) 6.55 
8SPSuperior Plus Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.08) 3.36 (4.50) 20.22 
2DGSIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS AB 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.04) 13.64 (10.00) 52.42 
NOH1Norsk Hydro ASA 0.00 0 per month 1.86  0.02  6.61 (3.25) 13.10 
RS6Reliance Steel Aluminum 0.00 0 per month 1.34  0.06  2.94 (2.17) 13.65 
XYTACHINA HUARONG ENERHD 50 0.00 0 per month 8.16  0.15  33.33 (20.00) 233.33 
9K1NORDIC HALIBUT AS 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.18) 2.94 (4.66) 14.80 
3RKURYOHIN UNSPADR1 0.00 0 per month 1.25  0.20  3.31 (2.40) 9.54 
VUSAVanguard Funds Public 0.00 0 per month 0.48  0.16  1.19 (1.04) 6.02 
MELMeli Hotels International 0.00 0 per month 1.03  0.1  3.33 (1.78) 7.09 

Alstria Office Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Alstria price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Alstria using various technical indicators. When you analyze Alstria charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Alstria Office Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Alstria Office stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as alstria office REIT AG, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Alstria Office based on analysis of Alstria Office hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Alstria Office's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Alstria Office's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Alstria Office

The number of cover stories for Alstria Office depends on current market conditions and Alstria Office's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Alstria Office is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Alstria Office's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Alstria Office Short Properties

Alstria Office's future price predictability will typically decrease when Alstria Office's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of alstria office REIT AG often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Alstria Office's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Alstria Office's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding178 M
Dividends Paid94.2 M
Short Long Term Debt19.6 M

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When running Alstria Office's price analysis, check to measure Alstria Office's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alstria Office is operating at the current time. Most of Alstria Office's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alstria Office's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alstria Office's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alstria Office to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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