American Electric Power Stock Price Prediction
| AEP Stock | USD 99.89 0.56 0.56% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
38
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.02) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.29 | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.627 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.8641 | Wall Street Target Price 100.59 |
Using American Electric hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of American Electric Power from the perspective of American Electric response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
American Electric Power Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to American Electric's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in American. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding American can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around American Electric Power. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of American Electric's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about American Electric.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in American Electric to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying American because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
American Electric after-hype prediction price | USD 99.9 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
American |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of American Electric's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
American Electric After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of American Electric at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in American Electric or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of American Electric, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
American Electric Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting American Electric's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on American Electric's historical news coverage. American Electric's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 98.74 and 101.06, respectively. We have considered American Electric's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
American Electric is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of American Electric Power is based on 3 months time horizon.
American Electric Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as American Electric is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading American Electric backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with American Electric, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 1.16 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 8 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
99.89 | 99.90 | 0.01 |
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American Electric Hype Timeline
On the 28th of November American Electric Power is traded for 99.89. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. American is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 99.9 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 193.33%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 0.01%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.02%. The volatility of related hype on American Electric is about 632.73%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 99.89. The company reported the last year's revenue of 18.98 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 2.21 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 8.41 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out American Electric Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.American Electric Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to American Electric's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict American Electric's future price movements. Getting to know how American Electric's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how American Electric may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SO | Southern Company | (0.69) | 9 per month | 0.91 | (0.04) | 1.73 | (1.57) | 5.63 | |
| D | Dominion Energy | (1.21) | 10 per month | 1.11 | (0) | 1.85 | (1.96) | 7.70 | |
| NEE | Nextera Energy | 0.09 | 10 per month | 1.87 | (0.07) | 1.77 | (2.52) | 7.75 | |
| ED | Consolidated Edison | (1.38) | 10 per month | 0.96 | (0.08) | 1.60 | (1.66) | 4.57 | |
| DUK | Duke Energy | 1.55 | 9 per month | 1.10 | (0.05) | 1.77 | (2.24) | 4.97 | |
| EIX | Edison International | 0.59 | 11 per month | 0.96 | (0.04) | 1.77 | (1.59) | 3.77 | |
| FE | FirstEnergy | (0.02) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 1.13 | (1.48) | 3.72 | |
| ETR | Entergy | 1.62 | 13 per month | 1.01 | 0.15 | 2.25 | (1.52) | 21.62 | |
| XEL | Xcel Energy | 1.10 | 11 per month | 0.36 | 0.15 | 1.90 | (1.15) | 7.27 |
American Electric Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine American price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for American using various technical indicators. When you analyze American charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About American Electric Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of American Electric stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as American Electric Power, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of American Electric based on analysis of American Electric hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to American Electric's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to American Electric's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0341 | 0.0339 | 0.0418 | 0.0496 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.65 | 2.47 | 2.22 | 1.16 |
Story Coverage note for American Electric
The number of cover stories for American Electric depends on current market conditions and American Electric's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that American Electric is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about American Electric's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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American Electric Short Properties
American Electric's future price predictability will typically decrease when American Electric's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of American Electric Power often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential American Electric's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. American Electric's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 520.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 544.4 M |
Additional Tools for American Stock Analysis
When running American Electric's price analysis, check to measure American Electric's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy American Electric is operating at the current time. Most of American Electric's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of American Electric's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move American Electric's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of American Electric to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.