Aban Offshore (India) Price Prediction
| ABAN Stock | 39.06 1.06 2.64% |
Momentum 26
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Wall Street Target Price 200 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.13 |
Using Aban Offshore hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Aban Offshore Limited from the perspective of Aban Offshore response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Aban Offshore to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Aban because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Aban Offshore after-hype prediction price | INR 36.33 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Aban |
Aban Offshore After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Aban Offshore at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Aban Offshore or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Aban Offshore, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Aban Offshore Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Aban Offshore's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Aban Offshore's historical news coverage. Aban Offshore's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 33.33 and 44.13, respectively. We have considered Aban Offshore's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Aban Offshore is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Aban Offshore Limited is based on 3 months time horizon.
Aban Offshore Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Aban Offshore is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Aban Offshore backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Aban Offshore, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.72 | 3.03 | 4.07 | 10.40 | 1 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
39.06 | 36.33 | 9.45 |
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Aban Offshore Hype Timeline
Aban Offshore Limited is presently traded for 39.06on National Stock Exchange of India of India. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -4.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -10.4. Aban is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 36.33. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 53.63%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -9.45%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.72%. The volatility of related hype on Aban Offshore is about 20.99%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 28.66. About 49.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 166.15. Aban Offshore Limited last dividend was issued on the 14th of September 2015. The entity had 5:1 split on the 4th of May 2005. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be very soon. Check out Aban Offshore Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Aban Offshore Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Aban Offshore's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Aban Offshore's future price movements. Getting to know how Aban Offshore's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Aban Offshore may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SBCL | Shivalik Bimetal Controls | (25.85) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 2.76 | (4.21) | 7.69 | |
| ANKITMETAL | Ankit Metal Power | (0.17) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 4.86 | (5.26) | 14.87 | |
| UNIVAFOODS | Univa Foods Limited | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.99 | |
| SHYAMMETL | Shyam Metalics and | 23.44 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.02 | (3.48) | 9.84 | |
| LLOYDSME | LLOYDS METALS AND | (70.50) | 5 per month | 2.79 | 0.10 | 5.73 | (4.85) | 15.42 | |
| BIKAJI | Bikaji Foods International | (14.30) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 3.80 | (4.41) | 16.15 | |
| MEGASTAR | Megastar Foods Limited | (13.69) | 3 per month | 2.03 | 0.03 | 6.33 | (4.23) | 18.83 |
Aban Offshore Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Aban price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Aban using various technical indicators. When you analyze Aban charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Aban Offshore Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Aban Offshore stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Aban Offshore Limited, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Aban Offshore based on analysis of Aban Offshore hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Aban Offshore's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Aban Offshore's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Aban Offshore
The number of cover stories for Aban Offshore depends on current market conditions and Aban Offshore's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Aban Offshore is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Aban Offshore's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Aban Offshore Short Properties
Aban Offshore's future price predictability will typically decrease when Aban Offshore's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Aban Offshore Limited often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Aban Offshore's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aban Offshore's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 58.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 435.1 M |
Additional Tools for Aban Stock Analysis
When running Aban Offshore's price analysis, check to measure Aban Offshore's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aban Offshore is operating at the current time. Most of Aban Offshore's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aban Offshore's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aban Offshore's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aban Offshore to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.