SICC (China) Price Prediction

688234 Stock   58.00  1.30  2.29%   
As of 20th of December 2024, the relative strength index (RSI) of SICC's share price is approaching 49. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling SICC, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

49

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of SICC's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with SICC Co, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting SICC's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
9.362
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.1
Wall Street Target Price
62.67
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.08
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.05)
Using SICC hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SICC Co from the perspective of SICC response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in SICC to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying SICC because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

SICC after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 55.71  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out SICC Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
48.7153.7958.87
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
53.6958.7663.84
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as SICC. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against SICC's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, SICC's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in SICC.

SICC After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of SICC at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in SICC or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of SICC, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

SICC Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting SICC's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on SICC's historical news coverage. SICC's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 50.63 and 60.79, respectively. We have considered SICC's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
58.00
55.71
After-hype Price
60.79
Upside
SICC is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of SICC is based on 3 months time horizon.

SICC Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as SICC is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SICC backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with SICC, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.48 
5.08
  0.99 
  0.03 
3 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In about 3 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
58.00
55.71
1.75 
245.41  
Notes

SICC Hype Timeline

SICC is presently traded for 58.00on Shanghai Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.99, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. SICC is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 55.71. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -1.75%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.48%. The volatility of related hype on SICC is about 8646.81%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 58.03. About 66.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The book value of SICC was presently reported as 12.35. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days.
Check out SICC Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

SICC Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to SICC's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict SICC's future price movements. Getting to know how SICC's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how SICC may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
600722HeBei Jinniu Chemical 0.47 1 per month 2.90  0.15  8.96 (5.03) 18.79 
002895Guizhou Chanhen Chemical 0.71 1 per month 2.29  0.13  6.34 (3.47) 18.27 
600691Yangmei Chemical Co 0.14 1 per month 2.79  0.19  9.94 (4.96) 19.82 
600141Hubei Xingfa Chemicals(0.81)2 per month 1.94  0.11  5.25 (3.02) 15.16 
600202Harbin Air Conditioning 0.22 1 per month 2.48  0.17  3.60 (3.73) 16.99 
601156Eastern Air Logistics(0.26)1 per month 1.85  0.11  4.35 (3.65) 11.08 
002215Shenzhen Noposion Agrochemicals 0.00 0 per month 2.00  0.24  5.88 (4.06) 14.18 
002054Dymatic Chemicals 0.00 0 per month 3.05  0.15  8.28 (4.96) 19.61 

SICC Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine SICC price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SICC using various technical indicators. When you analyze SICC charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About SICC Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of SICC stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as SICC Co, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of SICC based on analysis of SICC hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to SICC's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to SICC's related companies.

Story Coverage note for SICC

The number of cover stories for SICC depends on current market conditions and SICC's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that SICC is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about SICC's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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SICC Short Properties

SICC's future price predictability will typically decrease when SICC's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of SICC Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential SICC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SICC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding429.7 M

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