COFACE SA (Germany) Price Prediction
| 65C Stock | EUR 13.74 0.32 2.38% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
38
Oversold | Overbought |
Using COFACE SA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of COFACE SA from the perspective of COFACE SA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in COFACE SA to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying COFACE because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
COFACE SA after-hype prediction price | EUR 13.74 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
COFACE |
COFACE SA After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of COFACE SA at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in COFACE SA or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of COFACE SA, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
COFACE SA Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting COFACE SA's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on COFACE SA's historical news coverage. COFACE SA's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 12.36 and 15.12, respectively. We have considered COFACE SA's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
COFACE SA is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of COFACE SA is based on 3 months time horizon.
COFACE SA Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as COFACE SA is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading COFACE SA backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with COFACE SA, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.09 | 1.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
13.74 | 13.74 | 0.00 |
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COFACE SA Hype Timeline
COFACE SA is presently traded for 13.74on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. COFACE is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.09%. %. The volatility of related hype on COFACE SA is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.74. About 54.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds. The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 0.89. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. COFACE SA last dividend was issued on the 20th of May 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out COFACE SA Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.COFACE SA Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to COFACE SA's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict COFACE SA's future price movements. Getting to know how COFACE SA's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how COFACE SA may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MUVB | MUENCHRUECKUNSADR 110 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.27 | (0) | 4.20 | (3.78) | 10.66 | |
| SR9A | Swiss Re AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.25 | 0.09 | 3.38 | (2.30) | 10.38 | |
| HNRB | HANNRUECKVSE ADR 12ON | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 2.46 | (1.93) | 6.26 | |
| ERE | Everest Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 3.13 | (2.42) | 10.97 | |
| RGPB | Reinsurance Group of | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.00 | (0.0005) | 3.34 | (3.47) | 11.74 | |
| RRJ | RenaissanceRe Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.25 | 0.02 | 3.17 | (3.91) | 11.87 | |
| SDRC | SCOR SE | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.39 | 0.12 | 2.93 | (2.42) | 13.43 | |
| 65C | COFACE SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.16 | (1.93) | 9.45 |
COFACE SA Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine COFACE price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for COFACE using various technical indicators. When you analyze COFACE charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About COFACE SA Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of COFACE SA stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as COFACE SA, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of COFACE SA based on analysis of COFACE SA hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to COFACE SA's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to COFACE SA's related companies.
Story Coverage note for COFACE SA
The number of cover stories for COFACE SA depends on current market conditions and COFACE SA's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that COFACE SA is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about COFACE SA's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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COFACE SA Short Properties
COFACE SA's future price predictability will typically decrease when COFACE SA's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of COFACE SA often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential COFACE SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. COFACE SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 149 M |
Complementary Tools for COFACE Stock analysis
When running COFACE SA's price analysis, check to measure COFACE SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy COFACE SA is operating at the current time. Most of COFACE SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of COFACE SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move COFACE SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of COFACE SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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