Chengdu Xuguang (China) Price Prediction
| 600353 Stock | 6.76 0.26 3.70% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
52
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Chengdu Xuguang hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Chengdu Xuguang Electronics from the perspective of Chengdu Xuguang response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Chengdu Xuguang to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Chengdu because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Chengdu Xuguang after-hype prediction price | CNY 6.76 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Chengdu |
Chengdu Xuguang After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Chengdu Xuguang at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Chengdu Xuguang or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Chengdu Xuguang, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Chengdu Xuguang Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Chengdu Xuguang's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Chengdu Xuguang's historical news coverage. Chengdu Xuguang's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.73 and 10.79, respectively. We have considered Chengdu Xuguang's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Chengdu Xuguang is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Chengdu Xuguang Elec is based on 3 months time horizon.
Chengdu Xuguang Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Chengdu Xuguang is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Chengdu Xuguang backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Chengdu Xuguang, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 4.03 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
6.76 | 6.76 | 0.00 |
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Chengdu Xuguang Hype Timeline
Chengdu Xuguang Elec is presently traded for 6.76on Shanghai Stock Exchange of China. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. Chengdu is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on Chengdu Xuguang is about 1791.11%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.77. About 45.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The book value of Chengdu Xuguang was presently reported as 2.16. The company last dividend was issued on the 24th of June 2024. Chengdu Xuguang Elec had 1.4:1 split on the 19th of May 2023. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Chengdu Xuguang Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Chengdu Xuguang Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Chengdu Xuguang's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Chengdu Xuguang's future price movements. Getting to know how Chengdu Xuguang's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Chengdu Xuguang may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 000637 | Maoming Petro Chemical Shihua | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.91 | 0.05 | 4.18 | (4.64) | 16.93 | |
| 301059 | Jinsanjiang Silicon Material | 0.29 | 1 per month | 3.88 | 0.12 | 10.05 | (6.77) | 28.11 | |
| 600722 | HeBei Jinniu Chemical | 0.47 | 1 per month | 3.16 | 0.08 | 8.96 | (5.20) | 18.79 | |
| 000625 | Chongqing Changan Automobile | 0.04 | 1 per month | 2.54 | (0) | 4.77 | (3.51) | 19.25 | |
| 000913 | Zhejiang Qianjiang Motorcycle | 0.17 | 1 per month | 2.78 | 0.05 | 5.53 | (4.65) | 17.99 | |
| 300214 | Shandong Rike Chemical | 0.08 | 1 per month | 3.50 | 0.09 | 6.08 | (5.25) | 25.00 | |
| 002584 | Xilong Chemical Co | 0.53 | 1 per month | 3.59 | 0.04 | 8.42 | (5.76) | 19.18 | |
| 000678 | Xiangyang Automobile Bearing | 0.22 | 1 per month | 3.99 | 0.1 | 9.94 | (5.92) | 19.94 |
Chengdu Xuguang Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Chengdu price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Chengdu using various technical indicators. When you analyze Chengdu charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Chengdu Xuguang Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Chengdu Xuguang stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Chengdu Xuguang Electronics, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Chengdu Xuguang based on analysis of Chengdu Xuguang hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Chengdu Xuguang's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Chengdu Xuguang's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Chengdu Xuguang
The number of cover stories for Chengdu Xuguang depends on current market conditions and Chengdu Xuguang's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Chengdu Xuguang is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Chengdu Xuguang's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Chengdu Xuguang Short Properties
Chengdu Xuguang's future price predictability will typically decrease when Chengdu Xuguang's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Chengdu Xuguang Electronics often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Chengdu Xuguang's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Chengdu Xuguang's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 832.8 M |
Complementary Tools for Chengdu Stock analysis
When running Chengdu Xuguang's price analysis, check to measure Chengdu Xuguang's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Chengdu Xuguang is operating at the current time. Most of Chengdu Xuguang's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Chengdu Xuguang's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Chengdu Xuguang's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Chengdu Xuguang to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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