Hainan Airlines (China) Price Prediction
| 600221 Stock | 1.96 0.05 2.62% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
59
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.125 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.046 |
Using Hainan Airlines hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Hainan Airlines Co from the perspective of Hainan Airlines response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Hainan Airlines to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Hainan because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Hainan Airlines after-hype prediction price | CNY 1.96 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Hainan |
Hainan Airlines After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Hainan Airlines at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Hainan Airlines or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Hainan Airlines, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Hainan Airlines Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Hainan Airlines' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Hainan Airlines' historical news coverage. Hainan Airlines' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.10 and 6.66, respectively. We have considered Hainan Airlines' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Hainan Airlines is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Hainan Airlines is based on 3 months time horizon.
Hainan Airlines Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Hainan Airlines is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Hainan Airlines backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Hainan Airlines, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.19 | 4.70 | 0.00 | 0.20 | 0 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1.96 | 1.96 | 0.00 |
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Hainan Airlines Hype Timeline
Hainan Airlines is presently traded for 1.96on Shanghai Stock Exchange of China. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.2. Hainan is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 1.19%. %. The volatility of related hype on Hainan Airlines is about 2814.37%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.16. About 46.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company last dividend was issued on the 31st of May 2018. Hainan Airlines had 20:10 split on the 7th of June 2013. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Hainan Airlines Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Hainan Airlines Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Hainan Airlines' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Hainan Airlines' future price movements. Getting to know how Hainan Airlines' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Hainan Airlines may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 601288 | Agricultural Bank of | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.97 | (0.06) | 3.21 | (3.89) | 8.24 | |
| 601398 | Industrial and Commercial | (0.01) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 2.83 | (3.06) | 8.14 | |
| 601988 | Bank of China | (0.33) | 2 per month | 1.46 | (0.06) | 2.67 | (2.86) | 7.70 | |
| 601939 | China Construction Bank | 0.01 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.32 | (3.86) | 8.64 | |
| 600036 | China Merchants Bank | 1.26 | 1 per month | 1.80 | 0.03 | 4.65 | (2.56) | 13.83 | |
| 601857 | PetroChina Co Ltd | (0.09) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 3.43 | (3.33) | 17.17 | |
| 601166 | Industrial Bank Co | 0.18 | 1 per month | 1.61 | 0 | 3.84 | (2.56) | 12.07 | |
| 600000 | Shanghai Pudong Development | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.53 | 0.01 | 3.69 | (2.94) | 10.95 | |
| 601628 | China Life Insurance | 0.39 | 2 per month | 2.34 | 0.12 | 6.42 | (3.18) | 20.00 | |
| 601318 | Ping An Insurance | 0.26 | 1 per month | 1.87 | 0.1 | 5.83 | (2.83) | 19.77 |
Hainan Airlines Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Hainan price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hainan using various technical indicators. When you analyze Hainan charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Hainan Airlines Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Hainan Airlines stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Hainan Airlines Co, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Hainan Airlines based on analysis of Hainan Airlines hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Hainan Airlines's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Hainan Airlines's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Hainan Airlines
The number of cover stories for Hainan Airlines depends on current market conditions and Hainan Airlines' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Hainan Airlines is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Hainan Airlines' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Hainan Airlines Short Properties
Hainan Airlines' future price predictability will typically decrease when Hainan Airlines' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Hainan Airlines Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Hainan Airlines' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hainan Airlines' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 43.2 B |
Complementary Tools for Hainan Stock analysis
When running Hainan Airlines' price analysis, check to measure Hainan Airlines' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hainan Airlines is operating at the current time. Most of Hainan Airlines' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hainan Airlines' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hainan Airlines' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hainan Airlines to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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