YTL Hospitality (Malaysia) Price Prediction

5109 Stock   1.20  0.01  0.83%   
At the present time, The value of RSI of YTL Hospitality's share price is at 50. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling YTL Hospitality, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

50

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of YTL Hospitality's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of YTL Hospitality and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from YTL Hospitality's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with YTL Hospitality REIT, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using YTL Hospitality hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of YTL Hospitality REIT from the perspective of YTL Hospitality response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in YTL Hospitality to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying YTL because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

YTL Hospitality after-hype prediction price

    
  MYR 1.2  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out YTL Hospitality Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.141.031.92
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.321.212.09
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.181.201.21
Details

YTL Hospitality After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of YTL Hospitality at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in YTL Hospitality or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of YTL Hospitality, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

YTL Hospitality Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting YTL Hospitality's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on YTL Hospitality's historical news coverage. YTL Hospitality's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.31 and 2.09, respectively. We have considered YTL Hospitality's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
1.20
1.20
After-hype Price
2.09
Upside
YTL Hospitality is relatively risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of YTL Hospitality REIT is based on 3 months time horizon.

YTL Hospitality Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as YTL Hospitality is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading YTL Hospitality backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with YTL Hospitality, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.03 
0.89
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1.20
1.20
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

YTL Hospitality Hype Timeline

YTL Hospitality REIT is presently traded for 1.20on Kuala Lumpur Exchange of Malaysia. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. YTL is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on YTL Hospitality is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.20. The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 0.54. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. YTL Hospitality REIT had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out YTL Hospitality Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

YTL Hospitality Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to YTL Hospitality's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict YTL Hospitality's future price movements. Getting to know how YTL Hospitality's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how YTL Hospitality may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
5109YTL Hospitality REIT 0.00 0 per month 0.72 (0.12) 1.67 (0.85) 3.39 
5116Al Aqar Healthcare 0.00 0 per month 0.60 (0.01) 2.17 (1.44) 5.36 
7219Minetech Resources Bhd 0.00 0 per month 2.83 (0.01) 7.69 (7.14) 20.95 
5303Swift Haulage Bhd 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.13) 2.13 (2.08) 10.46 
3379Insas Bhd 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.19) 1.98 (2.11) 5.14 
6173Bina Darulaman Bhd 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.15) 3.57 (5.88) 13.81 
0148Sunzen Biotech Bhd 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.12) 3.03 (3.03) 6.25 
0097ViTrox Bhd 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.1) 5.22 (4.79) 13.37 
4324Hengyuan Refining 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.05) 5.79 (4.38) 32.50 
7243Impiana Hotels Bhd 0.00 0 per month 2.67  0.0001  5.00 (4.76) 19.05 

YTL Hospitality Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine YTL price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for YTL using various technical indicators. When you analyze YTL charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About YTL Hospitality Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of YTL Hospitality stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as YTL Hospitality REIT, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of YTL Hospitality based on analysis of YTL Hospitality hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to YTL Hospitality's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to YTL Hospitality's related companies.

Story Coverage note for YTL Hospitality

The number of cover stories for YTL Hospitality depends on current market conditions and YTL Hospitality's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that YTL Hospitality is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about YTL Hospitality's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

YTL Hospitality Short Properties

YTL Hospitality's future price predictability will typically decrease when YTL Hospitality's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of YTL Hospitality REIT often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential YTL Hospitality's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. YTL Hospitality's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.7 B
Dividends Paid72.3 M
Short Long Term Debt622.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments83.6 M

Other Information on Investing in YTL Stock

YTL Hospitality financial ratios help investors to determine whether YTL Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in YTL with respect to the benefits of owning YTL Hospitality security.