Sunwoda Electronic (China) Price Prediction

300207 Stock   22.74  0.09  0.40%   
At the present time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Sunwoda Electronic's share price is at 55. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Sunwoda Electronic, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

55

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Sunwoda Electronic's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Sunwoda Electronic, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Sunwoda Electronic's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.177
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.95
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.155
Wall Street Target Price
27.838
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.18
Using Sunwoda Electronic hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sunwoda Electronic from the perspective of Sunwoda Electronic response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Sunwoda Electronic to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Sunwoda because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Sunwoda Electronic after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 23.57  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Sunwoda Electronic Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.9721.9726.97
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
17.6822.6727.67
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.140.160.20
Details

Sunwoda Electronic After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Sunwoda Electronic at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sunwoda Electronic or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Sunwoda Electronic, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Sunwoda Electronic Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Sunwoda Electronic's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sunwoda Electronic's historical news coverage. Sunwoda Electronic's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 18.57 and 28.57, respectively. We have considered Sunwoda Electronic's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
22.74
23.57
After-hype Price
28.57
Upside
Sunwoda Electronic is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sunwoda Electronic is based on 3 months time horizon.

Sunwoda Electronic Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Sunwoda Electronic is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sunwoda Electronic backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sunwoda Electronic, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.77 
5.00
  0.83 
  0.02 
1 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
22.74
23.57
3.65 
462.96  
Notes

Sunwoda Electronic Hype Timeline

Sunwoda Electronic is presently traded for 22.74on Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.83, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Sunwoda is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 23.57 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is forecasted to be 3.65%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.77%. The volatility of related hype on Sunwoda Electronic is about 20000.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 22.72. Sunwoda Electronic has accumulated 26.09 B in total debt. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon.
Check out Sunwoda Electronic Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Sunwoda Electronic Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Sunwoda Electronic's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sunwoda Electronic's future price movements. Getting to know how Sunwoda Electronic's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sunwoda Electronic may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
601398Industrial and Commercial(0.04)2 per month 1.06  0.11  2.83 (2.29) 8.14 
601288Agricultural Bank of 0.00 0 per month 1.41  0.09  2.20 (2.19) 7.78 
601939China Construction Bank 0.01 2 per month 1.24  0.12  3.32 (2.12) 8.64 
601988Bank of China 0.03 3 per month 1.16  0.08  2.67 (2.33) 7.70 
601658Postal Savings Bank 0.02 1 per month 1.43  0.09  3.49 (2.35) 9.13 
601328Bank of Communications(0.03)2 per month 1.39  0.04  3.26 (2.27) 10.82 
600036China Merchants Bank(0.24)2 per month 1.82  0.11  4.65 (2.62) 13.83 
601166Industrial Bank Co 0.05 2 per month 1.62  0.06  3.84 (2.56) 12.07 
601998China Citic Bank(0.05)2 per month 1.88  0.08  3.02 (2.66) 13.33 
600000Shanghai Pudong Development 0.00 0 per month 1.47  0.07  3.69 (2.47) 10.95 

Sunwoda Electronic Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Sunwoda price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sunwoda using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sunwoda charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Sunwoda Electronic Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Sunwoda Electronic stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Sunwoda Electronic, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Sunwoda Electronic based on analysis of Sunwoda Electronic hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Sunwoda Electronic's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Sunwoda Electronic's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Sunwoda Electronic

The number of cover stories for Sunwoda Electronic depends on current market conditions and Sunwoda Electronic's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sunwoda Electronic is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sunwoda Electronic's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Sunwoda Electronic Short Properties

Sunwoda Electronic's future price predictability will typically decrease when Sunwoda Electronic's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Sunwoda Electronic often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Sunwoda Electronic's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sunwoda Electronic's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.9 B
Cash And Short Term Investments18.8 B

Complementary Tools for Sunwoda Stock analysis

When running Sunwoda Electronic's price analysis, check to measure Sunwoda Electronic's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sunwoda Electronic is operating at the current time. Most of Sunwoda Electronic's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sunwoda Electronic's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sunwoda Electronic's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sunwoda Electronic to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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