Cathay DJIA (Taiwan) Price Prediction

00669R Etf  TWD 6.60  0.05  0.76%   
At this time, the relative strength momentum indicator of Cathay DJIA's share price is approaching 39. This suggests that the etf is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Cathay DJIA, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 39

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Cathay DJIA's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Cathay DJIA Inv, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Cathay DJIA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cathay DJIA Inv from the perspective of Cathay DJIA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Cathay DJIA to buy its etf at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Cathay because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell etfs at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Cathay DJIA after-hype prediction price

    
  TWD 6.6  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Cathay DJIA Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.736.607.47
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.856.727.60
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.356.486.62
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Cathay DJIA. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Cathay DJIA's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Cathay DJIA's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Cathay DJIA Inv.

Cathay DJIA After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Cathay DJIA at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cathay DJIA or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Cathay DJIA, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Cathay DJIA Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Cathay DJIA's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cathay DJIA's historical news coverage. Cathay DJIA's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 5.73 and 7.47, respectively. We have considered Cathay DJIA's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
6.60
6.60
After-hype Price
7.47
Upside
Cathay DJIA is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cathay DJIA Inv is based on 3 months time horizon.

Cathay DJIA Etf Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Cathay DJIA is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cathay DJIA backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cathay DJIA, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.08 
0.87
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
6.60
6.60
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Cathay DJIA Hype Timeline

Cathay DJIA Inv is presently traded for 6.60on Taiwan Stock Exchange of Taiwan. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Cathay is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.08%. %. The volatility of related hype on Cathay DJIA is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.60. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Cathay DJIA Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Cathay DJIA Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Cathay DJIA's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cathay DJIA's future price movements. Getting to know how Cathay DJIA's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cathay DJIA may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Cathay DJIA Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Cathay price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cathay using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cathay charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Cathay DJIA Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Cathay DJIA stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Cathay DJIA Inv, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Cathay DJIA based on analysis of Cathay DJIA hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Cathay DJIA's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Cathay DJIA's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Cathay DJIA

The number of cover stories for Cathay DJIA depends on current market conditions and Cathay DJIA's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Cathay DJIA is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Cathay DJIA's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Cathay DJIA Short Properties

Cathay DJIA's future price predictability will typically decrease when Cathay DJIA's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Cathay DJIA Inv often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Cathay DJIA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cathay DJIA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day4.12M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month3.43M

Other Information on Investing in Cathay Etf

Cathay DJIA financial ratios help investors to determine whether Cathay Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Cathay with respect to the benefits of owning Cathay DJIA security.