GEM (China) Price Prediction

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 2.90 5.60 8.30 Details

Naive Forecast Low Next High 3.92 6.62 9.32 Details

Earnings Estimates (0) Low Projected EPS High 0.05 0.07 0.11 Details

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as GEM. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against GEM's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, GEM's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in GEM Co.

GEM After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

GEM Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

GEM Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Expected Return	Period Volatility	Hype Elasticity	Related Elasticity	News Density	Related Density	Expected Hype
0.04	2.70	0.00	0.01	2 Events / Month	2 Events / Month	In a few days

Latest traded price	Expected after-news price	Potential return on next major news	Average after-hype volatility
6.55	6.55	0.00	13,500   Notes

GEM Hype Timeline

GEM Co is presently traded for 6.55on Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. GEM is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on GEM is about 780.35%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.54. The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.75. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. GEM Co has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.93. The entity last dividend was issued on the 4th of July 2024. The firm had 13:10 split on the 19th of May 2017. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out GEM Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

GEM Related Hype Analysis

GEM Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine GEM price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for GEM using various technical indicators. When you analyze GEM charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

The successful prediction of GEM stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as GEM Co, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of GEM based on analysis of GEM hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.

The number of cover stories for GEM depends on current market conditions and GEM's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that GEM is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about GEM's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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GEM's future price predictability will typically decrease when GEM's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of GEM Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential GEM's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GEM's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

When running GEM's price analysis, check to measure GEM's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy GEM is operating at the current time. Most of GEM's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of GEM's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move GEM's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of GEM to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.