GEM (China) Price Prediction

002340 Stock   6.55  0.12  1.80%   
At the present time, the relative strength momentum indicator of GEM's share price is approaching 48. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling GEM, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

48

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of GEM's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with GEM Co, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting GEM's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.375
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.29
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.39
Wall Street Target Price
5.85
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.05
Using GEM hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of GEM Co from the perspective of GEM response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in GEM to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying GEM because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

GEM after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 6.55  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out GEM Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.905.608.30
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.050.070.11
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as GEM. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against GEM's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, GEM's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in GEM Co.

GEM After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of GEM at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in GEM or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of GEM, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

GEM Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting GEM's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on GEM's historical news coverage. GEM's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.85 and 9.25, respectively. We have considered GEM's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
6.55
6.55
After-hype Price
9.25
Upside
GEM is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of GEM Co is based on 3 months time horizon.

GEM Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as GEM is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading GEM backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with GEM, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.04 
2.70
 0.00  
  0.01 
2 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
6.55
6.55
0.00 
13,500  
Notes

GEM Hype Timeline

GEM Co is presently traded for 6.55on Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. GEM is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on GEM is about 780.35%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.54. The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.75. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. GEM Co has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.93. The entity last dividend was issued on the 4th of July 2024. The firm had 13:10 split on the 19th of May 2017. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Check out GEM Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

GEM Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to GEM's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict GEM's future price movements. Getting to know how GEM's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how GEM may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
601899Zijin Mining Group(0.16)3 per month 2.02  0.01  3.26 (3.21) 10.10 
600309Wanhua Chemical Group(2.40)3 per month 2.31 (0) 3.92 (3.47) 16.38 
600019Baoshan Iron Steel 0.08 2 per month 2.05  0.14  4.80 (3.10) 17.37 
600547Shandong Gold Mining(0.35)4 per month 0.00 (0.10) 2.39 (2.95) 12.15 
002493Rongsheng Petrochemical Co 0.08 1 per month 1.97  0.07  4.12 (2.86) 15.52 
600010Inner Mongolia BaoTou(0.03)2 per month 2.46  0.14  7.46 (4.00) 19.48 
002460Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium 0.00 0 per month 3.09  0.14  9.99 (6.14) 20.00 
603260Hoshine Silicon Ind(0.38)1 per month 2.50  0.07  4.90 (3.79) 17.89 
600160Zhejiang Juhua Co(0.19)2 per month 1.85  0.19  6.09 (3.85) 15.23 
000807Yunnan Aluminium Co(0.11)1 per month 2.27  0.11  5.75 (3.27) 15.53 

GEM Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine GEM price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for GEM using various technical indicators. When you analyze GEM charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About GEM Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of GEM stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as GEM Co, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of GEM based on analysis of GEM hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to GEM's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to GEM's related companies.

Story Coverage note for GEM

The number of cover stories for GEM depends on current market conditions and GEM's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that GEM is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about GEM's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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GEM Short Properties

GEM's future price predictability will typically decrease when GEM's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of GEM Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential GEM's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GEM's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding5.1 B

Complementary Tools for GEM Stock analysis

When running GEM's price analysis, check to measure GEM's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy GEM is operating at the current time. Most of GEM's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of GEM's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move GEM's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of GEM to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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