Virgin Galactic Holdings Stock Performance

SPCE Stock  USD 3.83  0.21  5.20%   
The entity has a beta of 1.39, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Virgin Galactic will likely underperform. At this point, Virgin Galactic Holdings has a negative expected return of -0.77%. Please make sure to validate Virgin Galactic's daily balance of power, and the relationship between the skewness and day typical price , to decide if Virgin Galactic Holdings performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Virgin Galactic Holdings has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's fundamental indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for the firm shareholders. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(1.46)
Five Day Return
(6.05)
Year To Date Return
(33.33)
Ten Year Return
(98.00)
All Time Return
(98.00)
Last Split Factor
1:20
Last Split Date
2024-06-17
1
Disposition of tradable shares by Alistair Burns of Virgin Galactic at 6.1 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/27/2024
2
Disposition of 2272 shares by Michael Colglazier of Virgin Galactic subject to Rule 16b-3
12/30/2024
3
Disposition of 241 shares by Michael Colglazier of Virgin Galactic at 5.47 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/14/2025
4
BlackRock, Inc. Increases Stake in Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc - GuruFocus.com
02/05/2025
5
Virgin Galactic Announces Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2024 Financial Results and Provides Business Update
02/26/2025
6
Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc Q4 2024 Earnings Call Highlights Navigating Challenges and ...
02/27/2025
7
Virgin Galactic set for seven straight sessions of losses
03/03/2025
8
Turkish doctor to research women astronauts health in space
03/06/2025
9
Spotlight on Virgin Galactic Hldgs Analyzing the Surge in Options Activity
03/13/2025
10
Disposition of tradable shares by Douglas Ahrens of Virgin Galactic at 8.04 subject to Rule 16b-3
03/18/2025
11
Acquisition by Douglas Ahrens of 454859 shares of Virgin Galactic subject to Rule 16b-3
03/20/2025
12
Disposition of tradable shares by Douglas Ahrens of Virgin Galactic at 4.26 subject to Rule 16b-3
03/21/2025
Begin Period Cash Flow253.6 M
  

Virgin Galactic Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  650.00  in Virgin Galactic Holdings on December 25, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (267.00) from holding Virgin Galactic Holdings or give up 41.08% of portfolio value over 90 days. Virgin Galactic Holdings is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 4.7561% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 42% of stocks are less volatile than Virgin, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Virgin Galactic is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 5.55 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.16 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.03 per unit of volatility.

Virgin Galactic Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Virgin Galactic's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Virgin Galactic Holdings, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Virgin Galactic's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.1613

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Negative ReturnsSPCE

Estimated Market Risk

 4.76
  actual daily
42
58% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 -0.77
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 -0.16
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Virgin Galactic is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Virgin Galactic by adding Virgin Galactic to a well-diversified portfolio.

Virgin Galactic Fundamentals Growth

Virgin Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Virgin Galactic, and Virgin Galactic fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Virgin Stock performance.

About Virgin Galactic Performance

By analyzing Virgin Galactic's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Virgin Galactic's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Virgin Galactic has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Virgin Galactic has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 105.96  100.66 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.36)(0.38)
Return On Capital Employed(0.46)(0.49)
Return On Assets(0.36)(0.38)
Return On Equity(1.08)(1.13)

Things to note about Virgin Galactic Holdings performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Virgin Galactic for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Virgin Galactic Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Virgin Galactic generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Virgin Galactic has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Virgin Galactic has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 7.04 M. Net Loss for the year was (346.74 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (82.99 M).
Virgin Galactic Holdings currently holds about 917.57 M in cash with (352.7 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.55.
Virgin Galactic has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Disposition of tradable shares by Douglas Ahrens of Virgin Galactic at 4.26 subject to Rule 16b-3
Evaluating Virgin Galactic's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Virgin Galactic's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Virgin Galactic's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Virgin Galactic's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Virgin Galactic's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Virgin Galactic's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Virgin Galactic's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Virgin Galactic's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Virgin Galactic's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Virgin Galactic's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Virgin Galactic's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Virgin Stock analysis

When running Virgin Galactic's price analysis, check to measure Virgin Galactic's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Virgin Galactic is operating at the current time. Most of Virgin Galactic's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Virgin Galactic's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Virgin Galactic's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Virgin Galactic to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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