Virgin Galactic Holdings Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

SPCE Stock

USD 7.03 0.02 0.29%

Virgin Galactic's threat of distress is above 80% at the present time. It has very high chance of going through financial crunch in the upcoming years. Virgin Galactic's Probability of distress is determined by interpolating and adjusting Virgin Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Virgin balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Virgin Galactic Piotroski F Score and Virgin Galactic Altman Z Score analysis.

The current year's Enterprise Value is expected to grow to about 2.1 B, whereas Market Cap is forecasted to decline to about 1 B.

Virgin Galactic Holdings Company probability of distress Analysis

Virgin Galactic's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Virgin Galactic Probability Of Bankruptcy

Over 83%

Most of Virgin Galactic's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Virgin Galactic Holdings is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Our calculation of Virgin Galactic probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Virgin Galactic odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Virgin Galactic Holdings financial health.

Is Aerospace & Defense space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Virgin Galactic. If investors know Virgin will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Virgin Galactic listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Earnings Share

(16.26)

Revenue Per Share

0.421

Quarterly Revenue Growth

(0.77)

Return On Assets

(0.22)

Return On Equity

(0.78)

The market value of Virgin Galactic Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Virgin that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Virgin Galactic's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Virgin Galactic's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Virgin Galactic's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Virgin Galactic's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Net Tangible Assets	Net Debt	Retained Earnings	Accounts Payable	Net Receivables	Short Term Investments	Capital Surpluse	Total Liab	Net Invested Capital	Long Term Investments	Short Long Term Debt	Total Current Assets	Net Working Capital	Short Term Debt	Common Stock	Property Plant Equipment	Current Deferred Revenue	Capital Stock	Long Term Debt Total	Long Term Debt
Total Assets		-0.2	0.72	0.17	-0.93	0.8	0.93	-0.06	0.92	0.85	0.94	-0.64	0.61	0.84	0.84	0.74	-0.72	0.83	0.77	-0.72	0.9	0.97
Total Stockholder Equity	-0.2		-0.07	-0.36	0.43	-0.57	-0.38	-0.08	-0.32	-0.63	0.02	0.55	-0.31	-0.43	-0.42	-0.26	0.4	-0.62	-0.41	0.4	-0.32	-0.2
Net Tangible Assets	0.72	-0.07		-0.51	-0.7	0.62	0.63	-0.61	0.84	0.59	0.51	-0.86	0.75	0.9	0.9	0.6	-0.94	0.66	0.94	-0.94	0.75	0.73
Net Debt	0.17	-0.36	-0.51		-0.25	0.29	0.33	0.73	0.02	0.34	0.34	0.32	-0.24	-0.21	-0.21	0.23	0.35	0.12	-0.3	0.35	0.08	0.17
Retained Earnings	-0.93	0.43	-0.7	-0.25		-0.96	-0.96	0.07	-0.96	-0.97	-0.82	0.74	-0.64	-0.85	-0.84	-0.87	0.78	-0.85	-0.82	0.78	-0.93	-0.93
Accounts Payable	0.8	-0.57	0.62	0.29	-0.96		0.88	-0.08	0.9	0.95	0.66	-0.74	0.62	0.78	0.78	0.92	-0.76	0.81	0.77	-0.76	0.9	0.8
Net Receivables	0.93	-0.38	0.63	0.33	-0.96	0.88		-0.08	0.94	0.94	0.86	-0.64	0.66	0.78	0.78	0.79	-0.7	0.81	0.75	-0.7	0.83	0.95
Short Term Investments	-0.06	-0.08	-0.61	0.73	0.07	-0.08	-0.08		-0.34	-0.02	0.13	0.5	-0.74	-0.38	-0.39	-0.1	0.53	-0.14	-0.48	0.54	-0.15	-0.08
Capital Surpluse	0.92	-0.32	0.84	0.02	-0.96	0.9	0.94	-0.34		0.9	0.78	-0.81	0.79	0.9	0.9	0.83	-0.87	0.82	0.9	-0.88	0.91	0.92
Total Liab	0.85	-0.63	0.59	0.34	-0.97	0.95	0.94	-0.02	0.9		0.72	-0.76	0.61	0.83	0.83	0.78	-0.75	0.88	0.79	-0.75	0.86	0.85
Net Invested Capital	0.94	0.02	0.51	0.34	-0.82	0.66	0.86	0.13	0.78	0.72		-0.34	0.4	0.6	0.61	0.67	-0.45	0.62	0.52	-0.45	0.78	0.9
Long Term Investments	-0.64	0.55	-0.86	0.32	0.74	-0.74	-0.64	0.5	-0.81	-0.76	-0.34		-0.76	-0.94	-0.94	-0.56	0.98	-0.81	-0.97	0.98	-0.75	-0.63
Short Long Term Debt	0.61	-0.31	0.75	-0.24	-0.64	0.62	0.66	-0.74	0.79	0.61	0.4	-0.76		0.77	0.77	0.53	-0.78	0.71	0.78	-0.78	0.66	0.6
Total Current Assets	0.84	-0.43	0.9	-0.21	-0.85	0.78	0.78	-0.38	0.9	0.83	0.6	-0.94	0.77		1.0	0.61	-0.96	0.91	0.98	-0.96	0.86	0.82
Net Working Capital	0.84	-0.42	0.9	-0.21	-0.84	0.78	0.78	-0.39	0.9	0.83	0.61	-0.94	0.77	1.0		0.61	-0.96	0.9	0.98	-0.96	0.86	0.81
Short Term Debt	0.74	-0.26	0.6	0.23	-0.87	0.92	0.79	-0.1	0.83	0.78	0.67	-0.56	0.53	0.61	0.61		-0.63	0.6	0.63	-0.63	0.85	0.76
Common Stock	-0.72	0.4	-0.94	0.35	0.78	-0.76	-0.7	0.53	-0.87	-0.75	-0.45	0.98	-0.78	-0.96	-0.96	-0.63		-0.79	-0.99	1.0	-0.79	-0.73
Property Plant Equipment	0.83	-0.62	0.66	0.12	-0.85	0.81	0.81	-0.14	0.82	0.88	0.62	-0.81	0.71	0.91	0.9	0.6	-0.79		0.84	-0.79	0.85	0.79
Current Deferred Revenue	0.77	-0.41	0.94	-0.3	-0.82	0.77	0.75	-0.48	0.9	0.79	0.52	-0.97	0.78	0.98	0.98	0.63	-0.99	0.84		-0.99	0.81	0.78
Capital Stock	-0.72	0.4	-0.94	0.35	0.78	-0.76	-0.7	0.54	-0.88	-0.75	-0.45	0.98	-0.78	-0.96	-0.96	-0.63	1.0	-0.79	-0.99		-0.79	-0.73
Long Term Debt Total	0.9	-0.32	0.75	0.08	-0.93	0.9	0.83	-0.15	0.91	0.86	0.78	-0.75	0.66	0.86	0.86	0.85	-0.79	0.85	0.81	-0.79		0.84
Long Term Debt	0.97	-0.2	0.73	0.17	-0.93	0.8	0.95	-0.08	0.92	0.85	0.9	-0.63	0.6	0.82	0.81	0.76	-0.73	0.79	0.78	-0.73	0.84

	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024 (projected)
Return On Assets	(0.35)	(0.34)	(0.33)	(0.44)	(0.43)	(0.45)
Asset Turnover	0.006244	2.96E-4	0.00308	0.002028	0.005765	0.006053
Gross Profit Margin	0.47	0.27	0.92	0.18	(6.43)	(6.11)
Net Debt	(455.9M)	(638.4M)	(482.0M)	113.4M	201.1M	211.1M
Total Current Liabilities	115.8M	115.0M	131.5M	184.1M	185.7M	115.2M
Non Current Liabilities Total	22.1M	26.5M	43.0M	475.7M	488.4M	512.8M
Total Assets	605.5M	804.0M	1.1B	1.1B	1.2B	973.7M
Total Current Assets	536.7M	727.9M	678.6M	1.0B	950.8M	612.5M
Total Cash From Operating Activities	(203.6M)	(233.2M)	(230.8M)	(380.2M)	(448.2M)	(425.8M)

	Return On Equity	-0.78
	Return On Asset	-0.22
	Operating Margin	(203.30) %
	Current Valuation	(29.13 M)
	Shares Outstanding	28.88 M
	Shares Owned By Insiders	5.80 %
	Shares Owned By Institutions	31.42 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	7.17 M
	Price To Book	0.55 X
	Price To Sales	21.56 X
	Revenue	6.8 M
	Gross Profit	406 K
	EBITDA	(475.64 M)
	Net Income	(502.34 M)
	Cash And Equivalents	917.57 M
	Cash Per Share	3.55 X
	Total Debt	417.89 M
	Debt To Equity	0.71 %
	Current Ratio	6.44 X
	Book Value Per Share	12.68 X
	Cash Flow From Operations	(448.19 M)
	Short Ratio	3.62 X
	Earnings Per Share	(16.26) X
	Price To Earnings To Growth	(0.29) X
	Target Price	11.83
	Number Of Employees	805
	Beta	1.7
	Market Capitalization	202.99 M
	Total Asset	1.18 B
	Retained Earnings	(2.13 B)
	Working Capital	765.17 M
	Net Asset	1.18 B

Virgin Galactic Holdings Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

Virgin Galactic Holdings Company probability of distress Analysis

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

Current Virgin Galactic Probability Of Bankruptcy

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