Sera Prognostics Stock Performance
| SERA Stock | USD 3.79 0.14 3.56% |
The entity has a beta of 1.29, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Sera Prognostics will likely underperform. At this point, Sera Prognostics has a negative expected return of -1.24%. Please make sure to validate Sera Prognostics' kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the day median price and relative strength index , to decide if Sera Prognostics performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Very Weak
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Sera Prognostics has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain somewhat strong which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the company investors. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (0.38) | Five Day Return (3.20) | Year To Date Return (52.82) | Ten Year Return (66.97) | All Time Return (66.97) |
1 | Disposition of 100 shares by Mirza Mansoor Raza of Sera Prognostics at 7.69 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/06/2025 |
2 | Disposition of 2431 shares by Austin Aerts of Sera Prognostics at 8.06 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/10/2025 |
3 | Disposition of 2264 shares by Robert Harrison of Sera Prognostics at 6.47 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/13/2025 |
4 | Disposition of 8407 shares by Jackson Benjamin of Sera Prognostics at 6.2 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/14/2025 |
5 | Sera Prognostics to Host Virtual RD Day on January 31 | 01/27/2025 |
6 | William Blair Predicts Lower Earnings for Sera Prognostics - MarketBeat | 02/05/2025 |
7 | Acquisition by Kamdar Kim P. of 7117 shares of Sera Prognostics subject to Rule 16b-3 | 02/06/2025 |
8 | Disposition of 554 shares by Robert Harrison of Sera Prognostics at 3.97 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 02/11/2025 |
9 | Disposition of 5915 shares by Jackson Benjamin of Sera Prognostics at 4.58 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 02/13/2025 |
10 | Disposition of 26867 shares by Lindgardt Zhenya of Sera Prognostics at 8.11 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 02/26/2025 |
11 | Sotera Health Company Meets Q4 Earnings Estimates | 02/27/2025 |
12 | Disposition of 4896 shares by Phillips Joshua of Sera Prognostics at 7.18 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 03/04/2025 |
13 | Acquisition by Austin Aerts of 53810 shares of Sera Prognostics at 4.2 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 03/05/2025 |
14 | Disposition of 540 shares by Austin Aerts of Sera Prognostics at 4.16 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 03/06/2025 |
15 | Disposition of 4818 shares by Austin Aerts of Sera Prognostics at 4.12 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 03/07/2025 |
16 | Dont Ignore The Insider Selling In Sera Prognostics | 03/14/2025 |
17 | Sera Prognostics Inc Reports Q4 2024 Earnings EPS at -0. ... | 03/19/2025 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 3.9 M |
Sera |
Sera Prognostics Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 860.00 in Sera Prognostics on December 22, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (481.00) from holding Sera Prognostics or give up 55.93% of portfolio value over 90 days. Sera Prognostics is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 4.8307% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 43% of stocks are less volatile than Sera, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Sera Prognostics Market Risk Analysis
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Sera Prognostics' investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Sera Prognostics, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Sera Prognostics' price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.
Sharpe Ratio = -0.2557
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| Cash | Small Risk | Average Risk | High Risk | Huge Risk |
| Negative Returns | SERA |
Estimated Market Risk
| 4.83 actual daily | 43 57% of assets are more volatile |
Expected Return
| -1.24 actual daily | 0 Most of other assets have higher returns |
Risk-Adjusted Return
| -0.26 actual daily | 0 Most of other assets perform better |
Based on monthly moving average Sera Prognostics is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Sera Prognostics by adding Sera Prognostics to a well-diversified portfolio.
Sera Prognostics Fundamentals Growth
Sera Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Sera Prognostics, and Sera Prognostics fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Sera Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -0.56 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.27 | ||||
| Operating Margin | (392.62) % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 92.24 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 34.05 M | ||||
| Price To Book | 2.88 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 1,788 X | ||||
| Revenue | 77 K | ||||
| Gross Profit | (5 K) | ||||
| EBITDA | (36.63 M) | ||||
| Net Income | (32.9 M) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 106.91 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 3.45 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 196 K | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.01 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 14.80 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 1.41 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (14.19 M) | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (0.99) X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 137.64 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 72.58 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (279.79 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | 22.83 M | ||||
About Sera Prognostics Performance
By analyzing Sera Prognostics' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Sera Prognostics' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Sera Prognostics has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Sera Prognostics has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.46) | (0.48) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (0.77) | (0.80) | |
| Return On Assets | (0.45) | (0.48) | |
| Return On Equity | (0.69) | (0.65) |
Things to note about Sera Prognostics performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Sera Prognostics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Sera Prognostics help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Sera Prognostics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Sera Prognostics has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Sera Prognostics has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 77 K. Net Loss for the year was (32.9 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (5 K). | |
| Sera Prognostics currently holds about 106.91 M in cash with (14.19 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.45. | |
| Sera Prognostics has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 69.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Sera Prognostics Inc Reports Q4 2024 Earnings EPS at -0. ... |
- Analyzing Sera Prognostics' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Sera Prognostics' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Sera Prognostics' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Sera Prognostics' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Sera Prognostics' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Sera Prognostics' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Sera Prognostics' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for Sera Stock analysis
When running Sera Prognostics' price analysis, check to measure Sera Prognostics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sera Prognostics is operating at the current time. Most of Sera Prognostics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sera Prognostics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sera Prognostics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sera Prognostics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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