Adams Natural Resources Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

PEO Fund  USD 23.68  0.09  0.38%   
The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.61, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Adams Natural's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Adams Natural is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

12 of 100

 
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Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Adams Natural Resources are ranked lower than 12 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of very fragile technical and fundamental indicators, Adams Natural may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.
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Adams Natural Resources Fund Sets New 52-Week High - Time to Buy - MarketBeat
10/07/2024
Expense Ratio0.9000
  

Adams Natural Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,176  in Adams Natural Resources on September 2, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  192.00  from holding Adams Natural Resources or generate 8.82% return on investment over 90 days. Adams Natural Resources is generating 0.1359% of daily returns assuming volatility of 0.8626% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 7% of funds are less volatile than Adams, and above 98% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Adams Natural is expected to generate 1.09 times less return on investment than the market. In addition to that, the company is 1.16 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.16 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.2 per unit of volatility.

Adams Natural Current Valuation

Fairly Valued
Today
23.68
Please note that Adams Natural's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be fairly valued. Adams Natural Resources shows a prevailing Real Value of $23.38 per share. The current price of the fund is $23.68. We determine the value of Adams Natural Resources from analyzing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we favor obtaining undervalued funds and abandoning overvalued funds since, at some point, fund prices and their ongoing real values will blend.
Since Adams Natural is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Adams Fund. However, Adams Natural's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  23.68 Real  23.38 Hype  23.67
The intrinsic value of Adams Natural's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Adams Natural's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
23.38
Real Value
24.24
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Adams Natural Resources helps investors to forecast how Adams fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Adams Natural more accurately as focusing exclusively on Adams Natural's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.8123.6724.53
Details

Adams Natural Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Adams Natural's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of funds, such as Adams Natural Resources, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Adams Natural's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = 0.1575

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Estimated Market Risk

 0.86
  actual daily
7
93% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 0.14
  actual daily
2
98% of assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 0.16
  actual daily
12
88% of assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Adams Natural is performing at about 12% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Adams Natural by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.

Adams Natural Fundamentals Growth

Adams Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Adams Natural, and Adams Natural fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Adams Fund performance.

About Adams Natural Performance

By examining Adams Natural's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Adams Natural's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Adams Natural is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Adams Natural Resources Fund, Inc. is a publicly owned investment manager. The firm invests in the public equity markets across the globe. The firm manages closed-end equity fund focused on the energy and material sectors. It invests in stocks of companies of all market capitalizations operating in the energy and natural resources sector including oil companies, exploration and production, utilities, services, and basic materials sectors. The firm employs a fundamental analysis with a bottom-up stock picking approach while focusing on earnings growth prospects, defendable market position, market competition, macroeconomic backdrop, cash flow generation, valuation, capital allocation, return on capital, mileposts and catalysts, and point in cycle identification to make its investments. It benchmarks the performance of its portfolios against a composite index of 80 percent Dow Jones Oil and Gas Index and 20 percent Dow Jones Basic Materials Index. The firm was formerly known as Petroleum Resources Corporation. Adams Natural Resources Fund, Inc. was founded in 1929 and is based in Baltimore, Maryland with an additional office in Boston, Massachusetts.

Things to note about Adams Natural Resources performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Adams Natural for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Fund alerts and notifications screener for Adams Natural Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Evaluating Adams Natural's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Adams Natural's fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Adams Natural's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Adams Natural's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Adams Natural's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Adams Natural's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Adams Natural's management team can help you assess the Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Adams Natural's fund. These opinions can provide insight into Adams Natural's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Adams Natural's fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Adams Natural's fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Adams Fund

Adams Natural financial ratios help investors to determine whether Adams Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Adams with respect to the benefits of owning Adams Natural security.
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