Gnma Fund A Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

PAGNX Fund  USD 9.27  0.03  0.32%   
The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.0363, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Gnma Fund's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Gnma Fund is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Over the last 90 days Gnma Fund A has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Gnma Fund is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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Expense Ratio Date1st of August 2022
Expense Ratio1.8600
  

Gnma Fund Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  960.00  in Gnma Fund A on September 17, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (33.00) from holding Gnma Fund A or give up 3.44% of portfolio value over 90 days. Gnma Fund A is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 0.2965% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 2% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Gnma, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Gnma Fund is expected to under-perform the market. But the company apears to be less risky and when comparing its historical volatility, the company is 2.46 times less risky than the market. the firm trades about -0.18 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.11 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

Gnma Fund Current Valuation

Fairly Valued
Today
9.27
Please note that Gnma Fund's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be fairly valued. Gnma Fund A retains a regular Real Value of $9.3 per share. The prevalent price of the fund is $9.27. We determine the value of Gnma Fund A from evaluating fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we encourage acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will come together.
Since Gnma Fund is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Gnma Mutual Fund. However, Gnma Fund's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  9.27 Real  9.3 Hype  9.27 Naive  9.24
The intrinsic value of Gnma Fund's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Gnma Fund's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
9.30
Real Value
9.59
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Gnma Fund A helps investors to forecast how Gnma mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Gnma Fund more accurately as focusing exclusively on Gnma Fund's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.259.359.45
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.989.279.56
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
8.949.249.53
Details

Gnma Fund Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Gnma Fund's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of mutual funds, such as Gnma Fund A, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Gnma Fund's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.1828

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Negative ReturnsPAGNX

Estimated Market Risk

 0.3
  actual daily
2
98% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 -0.05
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 -0.18
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Gnma Fund is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Gnma Fund by adding Gnma Fund to a well-diversified portfolio.

Gnma Fund Fundamentals Growth

Gnma Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Gnma Fund, and Gnma Fund fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Gnma Mutual Fund performance.
Total Asset213.46 M

About Gnma Fund Performance

Evaluating Gnma Fund's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Gnma Fund has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Gnma Fund has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund normally invests at least 80 percent of its assets in a diversified portfolio of securities of varying maturities issued by the GNMA, and of securities issued or guaranteed by the U.S. government, its agencies or government-sponsored enterprises, which may be represented by forwards or derivatives such as options, futures contracts or swap agreements. It may invest, without limitation, in derivative instruments, such as options, futures contracts or swap agreements, or in mortgage- or asset-backed securities.

Things to note about Gnma Fund A performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Gnma Fund for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Gnma Fund A help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Gnma Fund A generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Gnma Fund A generated five year return of 0.0%
This fund maintains about 38.46% of its assets in cash
Evaluating Gnma Fund's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Gnma Fund's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Gnma Fund's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Gnma Fund's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Gnma Fund's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Gnma Fund's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Gnma Fund's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Gnma Fund's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Gnma Fund's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Gnma Fund's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Gnma Fund's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Gnma Mutual Fund

Gnma Fund financial ratios help investors to determine whether Gnma Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Gnma with respect to the benefits of owning Gnma Fund security.
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