Northern Oil Gas Stock Performance

NOG Stock  USD 30.71  0.78  2.61%   
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.2, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Northern Oil's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Northern Oil is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Northern Oil Gas has a negative expected return of -0.19%. Please make sure to verify Northern Oil's kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the day median price and period momentum indicator , to decide if Northern Oil Gas performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Northern Oil Gas has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest unsteady performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain stable and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-run gains for the company stockholders. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(2.24)
Five Day Return
5.06
Year To Date Return
(20.26)
Ten Year Return
(55.98)
All Time Return
(24.72)
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0586
Payout Ratio
0.3219
Last Split Factor
1:10
Forward Dividend Rate
1.8
Dividend Date
2025-04-30
 
Northern Oil dividend paid on 31st of December 2024
12/31/2024
 
Northern Oil dividend paid on 31st of January 2025
01/31/2025
1
Heres Why Investors Should Consider Buying Ovintiv Stock Now
02/07/2025
2
Northern Oil and Gas five-year total shareholder returns outpace the underlying earnings growth
02/18/2025
3
Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. Q4 2024 Earnings Call Transcript
02/21/2025
4
Disposition of 2777 shares by Adam Dirlam of Northern Oil at 26.68 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/27/2025
5
NOG CEO Nick OGrady to Present at the Raymond James 46th Annual Institutional Investors ...
03/03/2025
6
Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. Among the Dividend Stocks That Are Underperforming in 2025
03/04/2025
7
Northern Oil and Gas Independent Chairperson of the Board of Directors Acquires 2.5 percent More Stock
03/06/2025
8
Earnings Working Against Northern Oil and Gas, Inc.s Share Price Following 27 percent Dive
03/07/2025
9
How Is Northern Oil and Gas Managing Its Financial Strategy
03/10/2025
10
NOG Board Approves Increase in Share Buyback Authorization Adds 100 Million to Existing Program
03/11/2025
11
Northern Oil and Gas announces 100M increase in share repurchase program - MSN
03/13/2025
Begin Period Cash Flow8.2 M
  

Northern Oil Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  3,521  in Northern Oil Gas on December 21, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (441.00) from holding Northern Oil Gas or give up 12.52% of portfolio value over 90 days. Northern Oil Gas is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 2.3598% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 21% of stocks are less volatile than Northern, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Northern Oil is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.77 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.08 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.04 per unit of volatility.

Northern Oil Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Northern Oil's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Northern Oil Gas, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Northern Oil's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.0825

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Negative ReturnsNOG

Estimated Market Risk

 2.36
  actual daily
21
79% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 -0.19
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 -0.08
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Northern Oil is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Northern Oil by adding Northern Oil to a well-diversified portfolio.

Northern Oil Fundamentals Growth

Northern Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Northern Oil, and Northern Oil fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Northern Stock performance.

About Northern Oil Performance

By analyzing Northern Oil's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Northern Oil's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Northern Oil has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Northern Oil has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 27.73  26.34 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.09  0.10 
Return On Capital Employed 0.17  0.17 
Return On Assets 0.09  0.10 
Return On Equity 0.22  0.45 

Things to note about Northern Oil Gas performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Northern Oil for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Northern Oil Gas help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Northern Oil Gas generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Northern Oil Gas has 2.37 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 7.22, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. Northern Oil Gas has a current ratio of 0.59, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Northern to invest in growth at high rates of return.
Northern Oil Gas has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 93.0% of Northern Oil shares are owned by institutional investors
On 31st of January 2025 Northern Oil paid $ 0.42 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Northern Oil and Gas announces 100M increase in share repurchase program - MSN
Evaluating Northern Oil's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Northern Oil's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Northern Oil's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Northern Oil's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Northern Oil's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Northern Oil's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Northern Oil's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Northern Oil's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Northern Oil's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Northern Oil's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Northern Oil's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Northern Oil's price analysis, check to measure Northern Oil's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Northern Oil is operating at the current time. Most of Northern Oil's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Northern Oil's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Northern Oil's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Northern Oil to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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