El Pollo Loco Stock Performance

LOCO Stock  USD 10.45  0.04  0.38%   
The firm owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 1.04, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. El Pollo returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, El Pollo is expected to follow. At this point, El Pollo Loco has a negative expected return of -0.16%. Please make sure to confirm El Pollo's total risk alpha, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day median price , to decide if El Pollo Loco performance from the past will be repeated in the future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days El Pollo Loco has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest weak performance, the Stock's fundamental indicators remain healthy and the recent disarray on Wall Street may also be a sign of long period gains for the firm investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
0.38
Five Day Return
5.56
Year To Date Return
(8.41)
Ten Year Return
(61.30)
All Time Return
(56.51)
Dividend Date
2022-11-09
Ex Dividend Date
2022-10-21
1
Assenagon Asset Management S.A. Has 1.46 Million Position in El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. - MarketBeat
01/24/2025
2
Acquisition by Laurance Roberts of 10758 shares of El Pollo at 4.34 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/19/2025
3
Should Value Investors Buy El Pollo Loco Stock
02/24/2025
4
El Pollo Loco Holdings Gears Up for Q4 Earnings Whats in Store
03/04/2025
5
Meghan Markles estranged half-brother slams malarkey stories about her childhood in new Netflix show Nobodys buying it
03/05/2025
6
Acquisition by Kehler Dean C of 5182564 shares of El Pollo subject to Rule 16b-3
03/06/2025
7
El Pollo Loco Holdings Inc Q4 2024 Earnings Call Highlights Revenue Growth Amidst ...
03/07/2025
8
El Pollo Loco set for growth under new CEO, healthy menu options - analyst
03/11/2025
9
Acquisition by Babb Douglas J of 8637 shares of El Pollo subject to Rule 16b-3
03/13/2025
10
Acquisition by Laurance Roberts of 13863 shares of El Pollo at 4.34 subject to Rule 16b-3
03/14/2025
Begin Period Cash Flow7.3 M
  

El Pollo Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,163  in El Pollo Loco on December 20, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (118.00) from holding El Pollo Loco or give up 10.15% of portfolio value over 90 days. El Pollo Loco is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 1.7529% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 15% of stocks are less volatile than LOCO, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days El Pollo is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.07 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.09 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.04 per unit of volatility.

El Pollo Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for El Pollo's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as El Pollo Loco, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a El Pollo's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.093

Best PortfolioBest Equity
Good Returns
Average Returns
Small Returns
CashSmall RiskAverage RiskHigh RiskHuge Risk
Negative ReturnsLOCO

Estimated Market Risk

 1.75
  actual daily
15
85% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 -0.16
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 -0.09
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average El Pollo is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of El Pollo by adding El Pollo to a well-diversified portfolio.

El Pollo Fundamentals Growth

LOCO Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of El Pollo, and El Pollo fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on LOCO Stock performance.

About El Pollo Performance

By examining El Pollo's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into El Pollo's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that El Pollo is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 2.71  2.67 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.29  0.31 
Return On Capital Employed 0.12  0.08 
Return On Assets 0.09  0.10 
Return On Equity 0.20  0.21 

Things to note about El Pollo Loco performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about El Pollo for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for El Pollo Loco help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
El Pollo Loco generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
El Pollo Loco currently holds 263.02 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.72, which is about average as compared to similar companies. El Pollo Loco has a current ratio of 0.77, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about El Pollo's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
Over 100.0% of El Pollo shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: El Pollo Loco set for growth under new CEO, healthy menu options - analyst
Evaluating El Pollo's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate El Pollo's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing El Pollo's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether El Pollo's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining El Pollo's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating El Pollo's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of El Pollo's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of El Pollo's stock. These opinions can provide insight into El Pollo's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating El Pollo's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact El Pollo's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether El Pollo Loco offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of El Pollo's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of El Pollo Loco Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on El Pollo Loco Stock:
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in El Pollo Loco. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of El Pollo. If investors know LOCO will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about El Pollo listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.509
Earnings Share
0.86
Revenue Per Share
15.846
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.018
Return On Assets
0.0438
The market value of El Pollo Loco is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of LOCO that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of El Pollo's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is El Pollo's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because El Pollo's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect El Pollo's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between El Pollo's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if El Pollo is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, El Pollo's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.