El Pollo Loco Stock Market Value
| LOCO Stock | USD 10.08 0.20 2.02% |
| Symbol | LOCO |
El Pollo Loco Price To Book Ratio
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of El Pollo. If investors know LOCO will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about El Pollo listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.509 | Earnings Share 0.86 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.018 | Return On Assets |
The market value of El Pollo Loco is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of LOCO that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of El Pollo's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is El Pollo's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because El Pollo's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect El Pollo's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between El Pollo's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if El Pollo is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, El Pollo's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
El Pollo 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to El Pollo's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of El Pollo.
| 12/14/2024 |
| 03/14/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in El Pollo on December 14, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding El Pollo Loco or generate 0.0% return on investment in El Pollo over 90 days. El Pollo is related to or competes with FAT Brands, Potbelly, BJs Restaurants, One Group, Dine Brands, Brinker International, and Bloomin Brands. El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiary, El Pollo Loco, Inc., develops, franchises, licenses, and operates ... More
El Pollo Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure El Pollo's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess El Pollo Loco upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.09) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 10.16 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.12) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.44 |
El Pollo Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for El Pollo's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as El Pollo's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use El Pollo historical prices to predict the future El Pollo's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.12) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.17) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0198 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.32) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of El Pollo's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
El Pollo Loco Backtested Returns
El Pollo Loco retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.2, which denotes the company had a -0.2 % return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. El Pollo exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm El Pollo's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.31), standard deviation of 1.96, and Information Ratio of (0.09) to check the risk estimate we provide. The firm owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.96, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. El Pollo returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, El Pollo is expected to follow. At this point, El Pollo Loco has a negative expected return of -0.38%. Please make sure to confirm El Pollo's jensen alpha, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day median price , to decide if El Pollo Loco performance from the past will be repeated in the future.
Auto-correlation | -0.24 |
Weak reverse predictability
El Pollo Loco has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between El Pollo time series from 14th of December 2024 to 28th of January 2025 and 28th of January 2025 to 14th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of El Pollo Loco price movement. The serial correlation of -0.24 indicates that over 24.0% of current El Pollo price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.24 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.31 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.41 |
El Pollo Loco lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is El Pollo stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting El Pollo's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of El Pollo returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that El Pollo has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
El Pollo regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If El Pollo stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if El Pollo stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in El Pollo stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
El Pollo Lagged Returns
When evaluating El Pollo's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of El Pollo stock have on its future price. El Pollo autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, El Pollo autocorrelation shows the relationship between El Pollo stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in El Pollo Loco.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
When determining whether El Pollo Loco offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of El Pollo's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of El Pollo Loco Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on El Pollo Loco Stock:
Check out El Pollo Correlation, El Pollo Volatility and El Pollo Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on El Pollo. You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.
El Pollo technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.