Azbil Corp (Germany) Market Value

YMK Stock  EUR 7.75  0.15  1.97%   
Azbil Corp's market value is the price at which a share of Azbil Corp trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Azbil Corp investors about its performance. Azbil Corp is trading at 7.75 as of the 4th of December 2024, a 1.97% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 7.75.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Azbil Corp and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Azbil Corp over a given investment horizon. Check out Azbil Corp Correlation, Azbil Corp Volatility and Azbil Corp Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Azbil Corp.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Azbil Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Azbil Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Azbil Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Azbil Corp 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Azbil Corp's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Azbil Corp.
0.00
11/04/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
12/04/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Azbil Corp on November 4, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Azbil Corp or generate 0.0% return on investment in Azbil Corp over 30 days. Azbil Corp is related to or competes with TOTAL GABON, and Walgreens Boots. More

Azbil Corp Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Azbil Corp's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Azbil Corp upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Azbil Corp Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Azbil Corp's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Azbil Corp's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Azbil Corp historical prices to predict the future Azbil Corp's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.157.759.35
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.817.419.01
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.967.569.16
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.397.507.60
Details

Azbil Corp Backtested Returns

At this point, Azbil Corp is not too volatile. Azbil Corp secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0597, which signifies that the company had a 0.0597% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Azbil Corp, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Azbil Corp's mean deviation of 1.16, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0357 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0954%. Azbil Corp has a performance score of 4 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.2, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Azbil Corp's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Azbil Corp is expected to be smaller as well. Azbil Corp right now shows a risk of 1.6%. Please confirm Azbil Corp information ratio, total risk alpha, and the relationship between the coefficient of variation and jensen alpha , to decide if Azbil Corp will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.41  

Average predictability

Azbil Corp has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Azbil Corp time series from 4th of November 2024 to 19th of November 2024 and 19th of November 2024 to 4th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Azbil Corp price movement. The serial correlation of 0.41 indicates that just about 41.0% of current Azbil Corp price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.41
Spearman Rank Test0.41
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

Azbil Corp lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Azbil Corp stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Azbil Corp's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Azbil Corp returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Azbil Corp has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Azbil Corp regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Azbil Corp stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Azbil Corp stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Azbil Corp stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Azbil Corp Lagged Returns

When evaluating Azbil Corp's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Azbil Corp stock have on its future price. Azbil Corp autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Azbil Corp autocorrelation shows the relationship between Azbil Corp stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Azbil Corp.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Azbil Stock

Azbil Corp financial ratios help investors to determine whether Azbil Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Azbil with respect to the benefits of owning Azbil Corp security.