WESTERN DIGITAL (Germany) Market Value

WDC Stock  EUR 57.73  0.38  0.66%   
WESTERN DIGITAL's market value is the price at which a share of WESTERN DIGITAL trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of WESTERN DIGITAL investors about its performance. WESTERN DIGITAL is trading at 57.73 as of the 22nd of December 2024, a 0.66 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 55.88.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of WESTERN DIGITAL and determine expected loss or profit from investing in WESTERN DIGITAL over a given investment horizon. Check out WESTERN DIGITAL Correlation, WESTERN DIGITAL Volatility and WESTERN DIGITAL Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on WESTERN DIGITAL.
For information on how to trade WESTERN Stock refer to our How to Trade WESTERN Stock guide.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between WESTERN DIGITAL's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if WESTERN DIGITAL is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, WESTERN DIGITAL's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

WESTERN DIGITAL 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to WESTERN DIGITAL's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of WESTERN DIGITAL.
0.00
11/22/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in WESTERN DIGITAL on November 22, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding WESTERN DIGITAL or generate 0.0% return on investment in WESTERN DIGITAL over 30 days. WESTERN DIGITAL is related to or competes with Apple, Apple, Apple, Apple, Microsoft, Microsoft, and Microsoft. More

WESTERN DIGITAL Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure WESTERN DIGITAL's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess WESTERN DIGITAL upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

WESTERN DIGITAL Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for WESTERN DIGITAL's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as WESTERN DIGITAL's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use WESTERN DIGITAL historical prices to predict the future WESTERN DIGITAL's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
55.3757.7360.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
53.6456.0058.36
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
48.7451.1053.46
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
56.8264.9473.07
Details

WESTERN DIGITAL Backtested Returns

WESTERN DIGITAL shows Sharpe Ratio of -0.0123, which attests that the company had a -0.0123% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. WESTERN DIGITAL exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out WESTERN DIGITAL's Mean Deviation of 1.75, market risk adjusted performance of (0.03), and Standard Deviation of 2.37 to validate the risk estimate we provide. The firm maintains a market beta of 0.33, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, WESTERN DIGITAL's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding WESTERN DIGITAL is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, WESTERN DIGITAL has a negative expected return of -0.0291%. Please make sure to check out WESTERN DIGITAL's kurtosis, daily balance of power, and the relationship between the skewness and accumulation distribution , to decide if WESTERN DIGITAL performance from the past will be repeated at future time.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.33  

Poor reverse predictability

WESTERN DIGITAL has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between WESTERN DIGITAL time series from 22nd of November 2024 to 7th of December 2024 and 7th of December 2024 to 22nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of WESTERN DIGITAL price movement. The serial correlation of -0.33 indicates that nearly 33.0% of current WESTERN DIGITAL price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.33
Spearman Rank Test-0.06
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance10.75

WESTERN DIGITAL lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is WESTERN DIGITAL stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting WESTERN DIGITAL's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of WESTERN DIGITAL returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that WESTERN DIGITAL has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

WESTERN DIGITAL regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If WESTERN DIGITAL stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if WESTERN DIGITAL stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in WESTERN DIGITAL stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

WESTERN DIGITAL Lagged Returns

When evaluating WESTERN DIGITAL's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of WESTERN DIGITAL stock have on its future price. WESTERN DIGITAL autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, WESTERN DIGITAL autocorrelation shows the relationship between WESTERN DIGITAL stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in WESTERN DIGITAL.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in WESTERN Stock

When determining whether WESTERN DIGITAL offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of WESTERN DIGITAL's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Western Digital Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Western Digital Stock:
Check out WESTERN DIGITAL Correlation, WESTERN DIGITAL Volatility and WESTERN DIGITAL Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on WESTERN DIGITAL.
For information on how to trade WESTERN Stock refer to our How to Trade WESTERN Stock guide.
You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.
WESTERN DIGITAL technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of WESTERN DIGITAL technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of WESTERN DIGITAL trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...