VGI Public (Thailand) Market Value

VGI-R Stock  THB 2.86  0.06  2.14%   
VGI Public's market value is the price at which a share of VGI Public trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of VGI Public investors about its performance. VGI Public is trading at 2.86 as of the 11th of December 2024, a 2.14 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 2.8.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of VGI Public and determine expected loss or profit from investing in VGI Public over a given investment horizon. Check out VGI Public Correlation, VGI Public Volatility and VGI Public Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on VGI Public.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between VGI Public's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if VGI Public is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, VGI Public's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

VGI Public 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to VGI Public's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of VGI Public.
0.00
11/11/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/11/2024
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If you would invest  0.00  in VGI Public on November 11, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding VGI Public or generate 0.0% return on investment in VGI Public over 30 days. VGI Public is related to or competes with Quality Houses, Erawan, Jay Mart, Airports, Eastern Technical, Gunkul Engineering, and Dcon Products. VGI Global Media Public Company Limited engages in the arrangement, management, and provision of advertising services in BTS stations, inside BTS trains, on BTS train bodies, in department stores, and in office buildings in Thailand. More

VGI Public Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure VGI Public's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess VGI Public upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

VGI Public Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for VGI Public's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as VGI Public's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use VGI Public historical prices to predict the future VGI Public's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.142.80282.80
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.112.12282.12
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.062.83131.73
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.082.813.54
Details

VGI Public Backtested Returns

VGI Public is out of control given 3 months investment horizon. VGI Public owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.11, which indicates the firm had a 0.11% return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. We have analyzed twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 14.52% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use VGI Public variance of 1.13, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0675 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. VGI Public holds a performance score of 8 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The entity has a beta of -0.0572, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning VGI Public are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, VGI Public is likely to outperform the market. Use VGI Public accumulation distribution, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and day median price , to analyze future returns on VGI Public.

Auto-correlation

    
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No correlation between past and present

VGI Public has no correlation between past and present. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between VGI Public time series from 11th of November 2024 to 26th of November 2024 and 26th of November 2024 to 11th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of VGI Public price movement. The serial correlation of 0.0 indicates that just 0.0% of current VGI Public price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.0
Spearman Rank Test0.59
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

VGI Public lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is VGI Public stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting VGI Public's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of VGI Public returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that VGI Public has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

VGI Public regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If VGI Public stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if VGI Public stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in VGI Public stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

VGI Public Lagged Returns

When evaluating VGI Public's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of VGI Public stock have on its future price. VGI Public autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, VGI Public autocorrelation shows the relationship between VGI Public stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in VGI Public.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in VGI Stock

VGI Public financial ratios help investors to determine whether VGI Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in VGI with respect to the benefits of owning VGI Public security.