Sirius XM Holdings Market Value

82967NBA5   95.00  1.91  1.97%   
Sirius' market value is the price at which a share of Sirius trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Sirius XM Holdings investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Sirius XM Holdings and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Sirius over a given investment horizon.
Check out Sirius Correlation, Sirius Volatility and Sirius Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Sirius.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Sirius' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sirius is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sirius' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Sirius 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Sirius' bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Sirius.
0.00
01/03/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
12/23/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Sirius on January 3, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Sirius XM Holdings or generate 0.0% return on investment in Sirius over 720 days. Sirius is related to or competes with ICC Holdings, Atlantic American, Hanover Insurance, Brenmiller Energy, Sun Life, Highway Holdings, and Topbuild Corp. More

Sirius Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Sirius' bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Sirius XM Holdings upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Sirius Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Sirius' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Sirius' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Sirius historical prices to predict the future Sirius' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
94.4195.0095.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
93.4494.03104.50
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Sirius. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Sirius' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Sirius' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Sirius XM Holdings.

Sirius XM Holdings Backtested Returns

Sirius XM Holdings owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0036, which indicates the bond had a -0.0036% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Sirius XM Holdings exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Sirius' Coefficient Of Variation of (1,054), variance of 0.3413, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.08) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 0.0107, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Sirius' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Sirius is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.17  

Very weak predictability

Sirius XM Holdings has very weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Sirius time series from 3rd of January 2023 to 29th of December 2023 and 29th of December 2023 to 23rd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Sirius XM Holdings price movement. The serial correlation of 0.17 indicates that over 17.0% of current Sirius price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.17
Spearman Rank Test0.02
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.61

Sirius XM Holdings lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Sirius bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Sirius' bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Sirius returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Sirius has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Sirius regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Sirius bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Sirius bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Sirius bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Sirius Lagged Returns

When evaluating Sirius' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Sirius bond have on its future price. Sirius autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Sirius autocorrelation shows the relationship between Sirius bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Sirius XM Holdings.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Sirius Bond

Sirius financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sirius Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sirius with respect to the benefits of owning Sirius security.