NBCUNIVERSAL MEDIA LLC Market Value

63946BAG5   104.27  2.37  2.33%   
NBCUNIVERSAL's market value is the price at which a share of NBCUNIVERSAL trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of NBCUNIVERSAL MEDIA LLC investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of NBCUNIVERSAL MEDIA LLC and determine expected loss or profit from investing in NBCUNIVERSAL over a given investment horizon.
Check out NBCUNIVERSAL Correlation, NBCUNIVERSAL Volatility and NBCUNIVERSAL Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on NBCUNIVERSAL.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between NBCUNIVERSAL's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if NBCUNIVERSAL is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, NBCUNIVERSAL's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

NBCUNIVERSAL 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to NBCUNIVERSAL's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of NBCUNIVERSAL.
0.00
11/20/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/20/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in NBCUNIVERSAL on November 20, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding NBCUNIVERSAL MEDIA LLC or generate 0.0% return on investment in NBCUNIVERSAL over 30 days. NBCUNIVERSAL is related to or competes with Universal, Constellation Brands, Keurig Dr, Universal Music, Ispire Technology, Anheuser Busch, and Alvotech. More

NBCUNIVERSAL Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure NBCUNIVERSAL's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess NBCUNIVERSAL MEDIA LLC upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

NBCUNIVERSAL Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for NBCUNIVERSAL's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as NBCUNIVERSAL's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use NBCUNIVERSAL historical prices to predict the future NBCUNIVERSAL's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
102.47104.27106.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
86.5088.30114.70
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
102.47104.27106.08
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
101.87104.79107.71
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as NBCUNIVERSAL. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against NBCUNIVERSAL's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, NBCUNIVERSAL's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in NBCUNIVERSAL MEDIA LLC.

NBCUNIVERSAL MEDIA LLC Backtested Returns

NBCUNIVERSAL MEDIA LLC retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0876, which conveys that the bond had a -0.0876% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. NBCUNIVERSAL exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify NBCUNIVERSAL's Mean Deviation of 1.14, market risk adjusted performance of (0.1), and Semi Deviation of 1.56 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The entity owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.37, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning NBCUNIVERSAL are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, NBCUNIVERSAL is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.26  

Poor predictability

NBCUNIVERSAL MEDIA LLC has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between NBCUNIVERSAL time series from 20th of November 2024 to 5th of December 2024 and 5th of December 2024 to 20th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of NBCUNIVERSAL MEDIA LLC price movement. The serial correlation of 0.26 indicates that nearly 26.0% of current NBCUNIVERSAL price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.26
Spearman Rank Test-0.3
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.77

NBCUNIVERSAL MEDIA LLC lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is NBCUNIVERSAL bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting NBCUNIVERSAL's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of NBCUNIVERSAL returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that NBCUNIVERSAL has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

NBCUNIVERSAL regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If NBCUNIVERSAL bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if NBCUNIVERSAL bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in NBCUNIVERSAL bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

NBCUNIVERSAL Lagged Returns

When evaluating NBCUNIVERSAL's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of NBCUNIVERSAL bond have on its future price. NBCUNIVERSAL autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, NBCUNIVERSAL autocorrelation shows the relationship between NBCUNIVERSAL bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in NBCUNIVERSAL MEDIA LLC.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in NBCUNIVERSAL Bond

NBCUNIVERSAL financial ratios help investors to determine whether NBCUNIVERSAL Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in NBCUNIVERSAL with respect to the benefits of owning NBCUNIVERSAL security.