ELI LILLY AND Market Value

532457BY3   65.14  10.01  18.16%   
532457BY3's market value is the price at which a share of 532457BY3 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of ELI LILLY AND investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of ELI LILLY AND and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 532457BY3 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 532457BY3 Correlation, 532457BY3 Volatility and 532457BY3 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 532457BY3.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 532457BY3's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 532457BY3 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 532457BY3's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

532457BY3 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 532457BY3's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 532457BY3.
0.00
12/10/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
01/09/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 532457BY3 on December 10, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding ELI LILLY AND or generate 0.0% return on investment in 532457BY3 over 30 days. 532457BY3 is related to or competes with Eldorado Gold, Parker Hannifin, Stagwell, GMS, Fluent, ZhongAn Online, and BOS Better. More

532457BY3 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 532457BY3's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess ELI LILLY AND upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

532457BY3 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 532457BY3's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 532457BY3's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 532457BY3 historical prices to predict the future 532457BY3's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
62.4365.1467.85
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
51.9754.6871.65
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
64.9567.6670.37
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
48.8760.7072.53
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 532457BY3. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 532457BY3's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 532457BY3's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in ELI LILLY AND.

ELI LILLY AND Backtested Returns

At this point, 532457BY3 is very steady. ELI LILLY AND secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0568, which signifies that the bond had a 0.0568% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for ELI LILLY AND, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm 532457BY3's Standard Deviation of 5.78, downside deviation of 4.02, and Mean Deviation of 2.62 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.15%. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0311, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning 532457BY3 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, 532457BY3 is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.44  

Modest reverse predictability

ELI LILLY AND has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 532457BY3 time series from 10th of December 2024 to 25th of December 2024 and 25th of December 2024 to 9th of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of ELI LILLY AND price movement. The serial correlation of -0.44 indicates that just about 44.0% of current 532457BY3 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.44
Spearman Rank Test0.09
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance13.33

ELI LILLY AND lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 532457BY3 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 532457BY3's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 532457BY3 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 532457BY3 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

532457BY3 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 532457BY3 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 532457BY3 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 532457BY3 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

532457BY3 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 532457BY3's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 532457BY3 bond have on its future price. 532457BY3 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 532457BY3 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 532457BY3 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in ELI LILLY AND.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in 532457BY3 Bond

532457BY3 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 532457BY3 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 532457BY3 with respect to the benefits of owning 532457BY3 security.