Elanco Animal Health Market Value

28414HAG8   101.73  0.95  0.93%   
Elanco's market value is the price at which a share of Elanco trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Elanco Animal Health investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Elanco Animal Health and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Elanco over a given investment horizon.
Check out Elanco Correlation, Elanco Volatility and Elanco Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Elanco.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Elanco's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Elanco is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Elanco's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Elanco 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Elanco's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Elanco.
0.00
12/26/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
12/15/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Elanco on December 26, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Elanco Animal Health or generate 0.0% return on investment in Elanco over 720 days. Elanco is related to or competes with Old Dominion, Cannae Holdings, CAVA Group,, Mesa Air, Nexstar Broadcasting, Saia, and Cracker Barrel. More

Elanco Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Elanco's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Elanco Animal Health upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Elanco Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Elanco's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Elanco's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Elanco historical prices to predict the future Elanco's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
101.44101.73102.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
100.19100.48111.90
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
102.59102.88103.16
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
98.03101.55105.07
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Elanco. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Elanco's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Elanco's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Elanco Animal Health.

Elanco Animal Health Backtested Returns

Elanco Animal Health secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.12, which denotes the bond had a -0.12% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Elanco Animal Health exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Elanco's Mean Deviation of 0.679, standard deviation of 1.67, and Coefficient Of Variation of (12,710) to check the risk estimate we provide. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0606, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Elanco's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Elanco is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.25  

Poor predictability

Elanco Animal Health has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Elanco time series from 26th of December 2022 to 21st of December 2023 and 21st of December 2023 to 15th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Elanco Animal Health price movement. The serial correlation of 0.25 indicates that over 25.0% of current Elanco price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.25
Spearman Rank Test0.25
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.36

Elanco Animal Health lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Elanco bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Elanco's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Elanco returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Elanco has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Elanco regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Elanco bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Elanco bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Elanco bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Elanco Lagged Returns

When evaluating Elanco's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Elanco bond have on its future price. Elanco autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Elanco autocorrelation shows the relationship between Elanco bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Elanco Animal Health.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Elanco Bond

Elanco financial ratios help investors to determine whether Elanco Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Elanco with respect to the benefits of owning Elanco security.