DUKE UNIV HEALTH Market Value

26443CAA1   81.48  0.00  0.00%   
26443CAA1's market value is the price at which a share of 26443CAA1 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of DUKE UNIV HEALTH investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of DUKE UNIV HEALTH and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 26443CAA1 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 26443CAA1 Correlation, 26443CAA1 Volatility and 26443CAA1 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 26443CAA1.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 26443CAA1's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 26443CAA1 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 26443CAA1's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

26443CAA1 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 26443CAA1's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 26443CAA1.
0.00
12/07/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
01/06/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 26443CAA1 on December 7, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding DUKE UNIV HEALTH or generate 0.0% return on investment in 26443CAA1 over 30 days. 26443CAA1 is related to or competes with Delek Logistics, Sun Country, United Airlines, Noble Plc, Major Drilling, Sable Offshore, and Nexstar Broadcasting. More

26443CAA1 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 26443CAA1's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess DUKE UNIV HEALTH upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

26443CAA1 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 26443CAA1's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 26443CAA1's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 26443CAA1 historical prices to predict the future 26443CAA1's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
80.1381.4882.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
67.5368.8889.63
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
80.8982.2483.59
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
78.8682.5786.28
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 26443CAA1. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 26443CAA1's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 26443CAA1's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in DUKE UNIV HEALTH.

DUKE UNIV HEALTH Backtested Returns

DUKE UNIV HEALTH secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0618, which signifies that the bond had a -0.0618% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. DUKE UNIV HEALTH exposes twenty-five different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 26443CAA1's Downside Deviation of 1.9, standard deviation of 1.82, and Mean Deviation of 1.25 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0439, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning 26443CAA1 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, 26443CAA1 is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.8  

Almost perfect reverse predictability

DUKE UNIV HEALTH has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 26443CAA1 time series from 7th of December 2024 to 22nd of December 2024 and 22nd of December 2024 to 6th of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of DUKE UNIV HEALTH price movement. The serial correlation of -0.8 indicates that around 80.0% of current 26443CAA1 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.8
Spearman Rank Test-1.0
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.34

DUKE UNIV HEALTH lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 26443CAA1 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 26443CAA1's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 26443CAA1 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 26443CAA1 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

26443CAA1 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 26443CAA1 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 26443CAA1 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 26443CAA1 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

26443CAA1 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 26443CAA1's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 26443CAA1 bond have on its future price. 26443CAA1 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 26443CAA1 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 26443CAA1 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in DUKE UNIV HEALTH.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 26443CAA1 Bond

26443CAA1 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 26443CAA1 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 26443CAA1 with respect to the benefits of owning 26443CAA1 security.