CNA FINL P Market Value
| 126117AU4 | 94.97 1.88 1.94% |
| Symbol | 126117AU4 |
126117AU4 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 126117AU4's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 126117AU4.
| 12/07/2023 |
| 12/01/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in 126117AU4 on December 7, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding CNA FINL P or generate 0.0% return on investment in 126117AU4 over 360 days. 126117AU4 is related to or competes with 51Talk Online, Skillful Craftsman, ChampionX, Emerson Electric, Bright Scholar, Newpark Resources, and Simpson Manufacturing. More
126117AU4 Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 126117AU4's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess CNA FINL P upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.34) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 3.4 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.74) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.6523 |
126117AU4 Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 126117AU4's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 126117AU4's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 126117AU4 historical prices to predict the future 126117AU4's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.05) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.04) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.12) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (11.27) |
CNA FINL P Backtested Returns
CNA FINL P retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.11, which signifies that the bond had a -0.11% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. 126117AU4 exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 126117AU4's Information Ratio of (0.34), market risk adjusted performance of (11.26), and Variance of 0.2446 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.0034, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, 126117AU4's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 126117AU4 is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | -0.7 |
Very good reverse predictability
CNA FINL P has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 126117AU4 time series from 7th of December 2023 to 4th of June 2024 and 4th of June 2024 to 1st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of CNA FINL P price movement. The serial correlation of -0.7 indicates that around 70.0% of current 126117AU4 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.7 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.4 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 1.2 |
CNA FINL P lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is 126117AU4 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 126117AU4's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 126117AU4 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 126117AU4 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
126117AU4 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 126117AU4 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 126117AU4 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 126117AU4 bond over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
126117AU4 Lagged Returns
When evaluating 126117AU4's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 126117AU4 bond have on its future price. 126117AU4 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 126117AU4 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 126117AU4 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in CNA FINL P.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in 126117AU4 Bond
126117AU4 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 126117AU4 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 126117AU4 with respect to the benefits of owning 126117AU4 security.