AMT 27 15 APR 31 Market Value

03027XBM1   80.95  5.16  5.99%   
03027XBM1's market value is the price at which a share of 03027XBM1 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of AMT 27 15 APR 31 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of AMT 27 15 APR 31 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 03027XBM1 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 03027XBM1 Correlation, 03027XBM1 Volatility and 03027XBM1 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 03027XBM1.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 03027XBM1's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 03027XBM1 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 03027XBM1's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

03027XBM1 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 03027XBM1's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 03027XBM1.
0.00
12/10/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
01/09/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 03027XBM1 on December 10, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding AMT 27 15 APR 31 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 03027XBM1 over 30 days. 03027XBM1 is related to or competes with Interpublic Group, Cimpress, Marchex, Xunlei, BOS Better, Playa Hotels, and LuxUrban Hotels. More

03027XBM1 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 03027XBM1's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess AMT 27 15 APR 31 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

03027XBM1 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 03027XBM1's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 03027XBM1's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 03027XBM1 historical prices to predict the future 03027XBM1's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
80.0980.9581.81
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
72.8682.4783.33
Details

AMT 27 15 Backtested Returns

AMT 27 15 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.16, which signifies that the bond had a -0.16% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. AMT 27 15 APR 31 exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 03027XBM1's Standard Deviation of 1.15, mean deviation of 0.6257, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.08) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.15, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning 03027XBM1 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, 03027XBM1 is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.57  

Modest predictability

AMT 27 15 APR 31 has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 03027XBM1 time series from 10th of December 2024 to 25th of December 2024 and 25th of December 2024 to 9th of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of AMT 27 15 price movement. The serial correlation of 0.57 indicates that roughly 57.0% of current 03027XBM1 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.57
Spearman Rank Test0.78
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance3.29

AMT 27 15 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 03027XBM1 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 03027XBM1's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 03027XBM1 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 03027XBM1 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

03027XBM1 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 03027XBM1 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 03027XBM1 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 03027XBM1 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

03027XBM1 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 03027XBM1's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 03027XBM1 bond have on its future price. 03027XBM1 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 03027XBM1 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 03027XBM1 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in AMT 27 15 APR 31.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in 03027XBM1 Bond

03027XBM1 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 03027XBM1 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 03027XBM1 with respect to the benefits of owning 03027XBM1 security.