UPM-Kymmene Oyj's market value is the price at which a share of UPM-Kymmene Oyj trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of UPM Kymmene Oyj investors about its performance. UPM-Kymmene Oyj is trading at 28.01 as of the 29th of March 2025; that is 0.90 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 27.76.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of UPM Kymmene Oyj and determine expected loss or profit from investing in UPM-Kymmene Oyj over a given investment horizon. Check out UPM-Kymmene Oyj Correlation, UPM-Kymmene Oyj Volatility and UPM-Kymmene Oyj Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on UPM-Kymmene Oyj.
Please note, there is a significant difference between UPM-Kymmene Oyj's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if UPM-Kymmene Oyj is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, UPM-Kymmene Oyj's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
UPM-Kymmene Oyj 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to UPM-Kymmene Oyj's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of UPM-Kymmene Oyj.
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12/29/2024
No Change 0.00
0.0
In 3 months and 1 day
03/29/2025
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If you would invest 0.00 in UPM-Kymmene Oyj on December 29, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding UPM Kymmene Oyj or generate 0.0% return on investment in UPM-Kymmene Oyj over 90 days. UPM-Kymmene Oyj is related to or competes with Mercer International, Sylvamo Corp, Suzano Papel, Clearwater Paper, and Klabin Sa. It operates through UPM Biorefining, UPM Energy, UPM Raflatac, UPM Specialty Papers, UPM Communication Papers, UPM Plywo... More
UPM-Kymmene Oyj Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure UPM-Kymmene Oyj's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess UPM Kymmene Oyj upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for UPM-Kymmene Oyj's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as UPM-Kymmene Oyj's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use UPM-Kymmene Oyj historical prices to predict the future UPM-Kymmene Oyj's volatility.
At this stage we consider UPM-Kymmene Pink Sheet to be very steady. UPM Kymmene Oyj owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.024, which indicates the firm had a 0.024 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for UPM Kymmene Oyj, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please validate UPM-Kymmene Oyj's risk adjusted performance of 0.0456, and Coefficient Of Variation of 2092.16 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0386%. UPM-Kymmene Oyj has a performance score of 1 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of -0.14, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning UPM-Kymmene Oyj are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, UPM-Kymmene Oyj is likely to outperform the market. UPM Kymmene Oyj presently has a risk of 1.61%. Please validate UPM-Kymmene Oyj potential upside, as well as the relationship between the accumulation distribution and period momentum indicator , to decide if UPM-Kymmene Oyj will be following its existing price patterns.
Auto-correlation
-0.07
Very weak reverse predictability
UPM Kymmene Oyj has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between UPM-Kymmene Oyj time series from 29th of December 2024 to 12th of February 2025 and 12th of February 2025 to 29th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of UPM Kymmene Oyj price movement. The serial correlation of -0.07 indicates that barely 7.0% of current UPM-Kymmene Oyj price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient
-0.07
Spearman Rank Test
-0.29
Residual Average
0.0
Price Variance
0.69
UPM Kymmene Oyj lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is UPM-Kymmene Oyj pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting UPM-Kymmene Oyj's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of UPM-Kymmene Oyj returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that UPM-Kymmene Oyj has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values
Timeline
UPM-Kymmene Oyj regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If UPM-Kymmene Oyj pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if UPM-Kymmene Oyj pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in UPM-Kymmene Oyj pink sheet over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices
Timeline
UPM-Kymmene Oyj Lagged Returns
When evaluating UPM-Kymmene Oyj's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of UPM-Kymmene Oyj pink sheet have on its future price. UPM-Kymmene Oyj autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, UPM-Kymmene Oyj autocorrelation shows the relationship between UPM-Kymmene Oyj pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in UPM Kymmene Oyj.
Regressed Prices
Timeline
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
Additional Tools for UPM-Kymmene Pink Sheet Analysis
When running UPM-Kymmene Oyj's price analysis, check to measure UPM-Kymmene Oyj's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy UPM-Kymmene Oyj is operating at the current time. Most of UPM-Kymmene Oyj's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of UPM-Kymmene Oyj's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move UPM-Kymmene Oyj's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of UPM-Kymmene Oyj to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.