Thumzup Media Stock Market Value
| TZUP Stock | USD 4.24 0.16 3.64% |
| Symbol | Thumzup |
Thumzup Media 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Thumzup Media's otc stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Thumzup Media.
| 12/30/2024 |
| 03/30/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Thumzup Media on December 30, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Thumzup Media or generate 0.0% return on investment in Thumzup Media over 90 days. Thumzup Media is related to or competes with WiMi Hologram, National CineMedia, and Baosheng Media. Thumzup Media Corporation, a software company, engages in building an influencer community around its mobile app More
Thumzup Media Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Thumzup Media's otc stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Thumzup Media upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 5.28 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1006 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 46.93 | |||
| Value At Risk | (8.60) | |||
| Potential Upside | 9.65 |
Thumzup Media Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Thumzup Media's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Thumzup Media's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Thumzup Media historical prices to predict the future Thumzup Media's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0899 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.6463 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 1.12 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1368 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (1.64) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Thumzup Media's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Thumzup Media Backtested Returns
Thumzup Media appears to be very risky, given 3 months investment horizon. Thumzup Media owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.11, which indicates the firm had a 0.11 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By inspecting Thumzup Media's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.78% is justified by implied risk. Please review Thumzup Media's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0899, coefficient of variation of 1057.91, and Semi Deviation of 4.76 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Thumzup Media holds a performance score of 8. The entity has a beta of -0.41, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Thumzup Media are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Thumzup Media is likely to outperform the market. Please check Thumzup Media's semi variance, as well as the relationship between the rate of daily change and relative strength index , to make a quick decision on whether Thumzup Media's existing price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | -0.6 |
Good reverse predictability
Thumzup Media has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Thumzup Media time series from 30th of December 2024 to 13th of February 2025 and 13th of February 2025 to 30th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Thumzup Media price movement. The serial correlation of -0.6 indicates that roughly 60.0% of current Thumzup Media price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.6 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.55 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.37 |
Thumzup Media lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Thumzup Media otc stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Thumzup Media's otc stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Thumzup Media returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Thumzup Media has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the otc stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Thumzup Media regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Thumzup Media otc stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Thumzup Media otc stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Thumzup Media otc stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Thumzup Media Lagged Returns
When evaluating Thumzup Media's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Thumzup Media otc stock have on its future price. Thumzup Media autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Thumzup Media autocorrelation shows the relationship between Thumzup Media otc stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Thumzup Media.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Additional Tools for Thumzup OTC Stock Analysis
When running Thumzup Media's price analysis, check to measure Thumzup Media's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Thumzup Media is operating at the current time. Most of Thumzup Media's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Thumzup Media's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Thumzup Media's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Thumzup Media to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.