ALIBHLINFTECUNSPADR (Germany) Market Value

TWYA Stock  EUR 11.70  0.70  5.65%   
ALIBHLINFTECUNSPADR's market value is the price at which a share of ALIBHLINFTECUNSPADR trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of ALIBHLINFTECUNSPADR investors about its performance. ALIBHLINFTECUNSPADR is trading at 11.70 as of the 3rd of March 2025. This is a 5.65% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 11.7.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of ALIBHLINFTECUNSPADR and determine expected loss or profit from investing in ALIBHLINFTECUNSPADR over a given investment horizon. Check out ALIBHLINFTECUNSPADR Correlation, ALIBHLINFTECUNSPADR Volatility and ALIBHLINFTECUNSPADR Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on ALIBHLINFTECUNSPADR.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between ALIBHLINFTECUNSPADR's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ALIBHLINFTECUNSPADR is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ALIBHLINFTECUNSPADR's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

ALIBHLINFTECUNSPADR 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to ALIBHLINFTECUNSPADR's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of ALIBHLINFTECUNSPADR.
0.00
01/02/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 1 day
03/03/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in ALIBHLINFTECUNSPADR on January 2, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding ALIBHLINFTECUNSPADR or generate 0.0% return on investment in ALIBHLINFTECUNSPADR over 60 days. ALIBHLINFTECUNSPADR is related to or competes with PennyMac Mortgage, AGNC Investment, IDP EDUCATION, G8 EDUCATION, HK Electric, American Public, and SLR Investment. Alibaba Health Information Technology Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the pharmaceutical direct sales... More

ALIBHLINFTECUNSPADR Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure ALIBHLINFTECUNSPADR's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess ALIBHLINFTECUNSPADR upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

ALIBHLINFTECUNSPADR Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for ALIBHLINFTECUNSPADR's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as ALIBHLINFTECUNSPADR's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use ALIBHLINFTECUNSPADR historical prices to predict the future ALIBHLINFTECUNSPADR's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.0111.7017.39
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.939.6215.31
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4.7610.4516.14
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.1510.8015.46
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as ALIBHLINFTECUNSPADR. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against ALIBHLINFTECUNSPADR's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, ALIBHLINFTECUNSPADR's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in ALIBHLINFTECUNSPADR.

ALIBHLINFTECUNSPADR Backtested Returns

ALIBHLINFTECUNSPADR appears to be slightly risky, given 3 months investment horizon. ALIBHLINFTECUNSPADR secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.11, which signifies that the company had a 0.11 % return per unit of return volatility over the last 3 months. By examining ALIBHLINFTECUNSPADR's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.66% is justified by implied risk. Please makes use of ALIBHLINFTECUNSPADR's Mean Deviation of 3.63, semi deviation of 4.09, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0928 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, ALIBHLINFTECUNSPADR holds a performance score of 9. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.16, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning ALIBHLINFTECUNSPADR are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, ALIBHLINFTECUNSPADR is likely to outperform the market. Please check ALIBHLINFTECUNSPADR's information ratio, total risk alpha, treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the jensen alpha and sortino ratio , to make a quick decision on whether ALIBHLINFTECUNSPADR's price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.48  

Average predictability

ALIBHLINFTECUNSPADR has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between ALIBHLINFTECUNSPADR time series from 2nd of January 2025 to 1st of February 2025 and 1st of February 2025 to 3rd of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of ALIBHLINFTECUNSPADR price movement. The serial correlation of 0.48 indicates that about 48.0% of current ALIBHLINFTECUNSPADR price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.48
Spearman Rank Test0.65
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance4.37

ALIBHLINFTECUNSPADR lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is ALIBHLINFTECUNSPADR stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting ALIBHLINFTECUNSPADR's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of ALIBHLINFTECUNSPADR returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that ALIBHLINFTECUNSPADR has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

ALIBHLINFTECUNSPADR regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If ALIBHLINFTECUNSPADR stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if ALIBHLINFTECUNSPADR stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in ALIBHLINFTECUNSPADR stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

ALIBHLINFTECUNSPADR Lagged Returns

When evaluating ALIBHLINFTECUNSPADR's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of ALIBHLINFTECUNSPADR stock have on its future price. ALIBHLINFTECUNSPADR autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, ALIBHLINFTECUNSPADR autocorrelation shows the relationship between ALIBHLINFTECUNSPADR stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in ALIBHLINFTECUNSPADR.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in ALIBHLINFTECUNSPADR Stock

ALIBHLINFTECUNSPADR financial ratios help investors to determine whether ALIBHLINFTECUNSPADR Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ALIBHLINFTECUNSPADR with respect to the benefits of owning ALIBHLINFTECUNSPADR security.