Tata Steel (Thailand) Market Value
| TSTH Stock | THB 0.70 0.02 2.78% |
| Symbol | Tata |
Tata Steel 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Tata Steel's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Tata Steel.
| 12/09/2023 |
| 12/03/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Tata Steel on December 9, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Tata Steel Public or generate 0.0% return on investment in Tata Steel over 360 days. Tata Steel is related to or competes with TMT Steel, TPI Polene, Thoresen Thai, TRC Construction, and Hana Microelectronics. Tata Steel Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, distributes, and trades in steel bars, ... More
Tata Steel Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Tata Steel's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Tata Steel Public upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 3.56 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0739 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 18.31 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.55) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.76 |
Tata Steel Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Tata Steel's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Tata Steel's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Tata Steel historical prices to predict the future Tata Steel's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0938 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.3484 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.13) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0663 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 21.23 |
Tata Steel Public Backtested Returns
Tata Steel appears to be extremely dangerous, given 3 months investment horizon. Tata Steel Public owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.12, which indicates the firm had a 0.12% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Tata Steel Public, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please review Tata Steel's Coefficient Of Variation of 886.41, risk adjusted performance of 0.0938, and Semi Deviation of 1.85 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Tata Steel holds a performance score of 9. The entity has a beta of 0.0165, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Tata Steel's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Tata Steel is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Tata Steel's value at risk, downside variance, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and potential upside , to make a quick decision on whether Tata Steel's existing price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.29 |
Poor predictability
Tata Steel Public has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Tata Steel time series from 9th of December 2023 to 6th of June 2024 and 6th of June 2024 to 3rd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Tata Steel Public price movement. The serial correlation of 0.29 indicates that nearly 29.0% of current Tata Steel price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.29 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.33 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.01 |
Tata Steel Public lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Tata Steel stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Tata Steel's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Tata Steel returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Tata Steel has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Tata Steel regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Tata Steel stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Tata Steel stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Tata Steel stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Tata Steel Lagged Returns
When evaluating Tata Steel's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Tata Steel stock have on its future price. Tata Steel autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Tata Steel autocorrelation shows the relationship between Tata Steel stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Tata Steel Public.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Tata Steel financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tata Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tata with respect to the benefits of owning Tata Steel security.