TPI Polene (Thailand) Market Value

TPIPP Stock  THB 2.70  0.10  3.57%   
TPI Polene's market value is the price at which a share of TPI Polene trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of TPI Polene Power investors about its performance. TPI Polene is trading at 2.70 as of the 2nd of March 2025, a 3.57 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 2.8.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of TPI Polene Power and determine expected loss or profit from investing in TPI Polene over a given investment horizon. Check out TPI Polene Correlation, TPI Polene Volatility and TPI Polene Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on TPI Polene.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between TPI Polene's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if TPI Polene is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, TPI Polene's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

TPI Polene 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to TPI Polene's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of TPI Polene.
0.00
01/31/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
03/02/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in TPI Polene on January 31, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding TPI Polene Power or generate 0.0% return on investment in TPI Polene over 30 days. TPI Polene is related to or competes with Ratch Group, BCPG Public, Gulf Energy, BTS Group, and PTG Energy. TPI Polene Power Public Company Limited produces and distributes electricity in Thailand More

TPI Polene Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure TPI Polene's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess TPI Polene Power upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

TPI Polene Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for TPI Polene's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as TPI Polene's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use TPI Polene historical prices to predict the future TPI Polene's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.892.703.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.582.393.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.862.673.47
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.772.903.02
Details

TPI Polene Power Backtested Returns

TPI Polene Power owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.21, which indicates the firm had a -0.21 % return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. TPI Polene Power exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate TPI Polene's variance of 0.6486, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.16) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of -0.23, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning TPI Polene are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, TPI Polene is likely to outperform the market. At this point, TPI Polene Power has a negative expected return of -0.17%. Please make sure to validate TPI Polene's potential upside, as well as the relationship between the rate of daily change and period momentum indicator , to decide if TPI Polene Power performance from the past will be repeated at future time.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.73  

Good predictability

TPI Polene Power has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between TPI Polene time series from 31st of January 2025 to 15th of February 2025 and 15th of February 2025 to 2nd of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of TPI Polene Power price movement. The serial correlation of 0.73 indicates that around 73.0% of current TPI Polene price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.73
Spearman Rank Test0.25
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

TPI Polene Power lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is TPI Polene stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting TPI Polene's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of TPI Polene returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that TPI Polene has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

TPI Polene regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If TPI Polene stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if TPI Polene stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in TPI Polene stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

TPI Polene Lagged Returns

When evaluating TPI Polene's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of TPI Polene stock have on its future price. TPI Polene autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, TPI Polene autocorrelation shows the relationship between TPI Polene stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in TPI Polene Power.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in TPI Stock

TPI Polene financial ratios help investors to determine whether TPI Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in TPI with respect to the benefits of owning TPI Polene security.