Telsys (Israel) Market Value

TLSY Stock  ILS 16,200  550.00  3.28%   
Telsys' market value is the price at which a share of Telsys trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Telsys investors about its performance. Telsys is trading at 16200.00 as of the 1st of December 2024, a 3.28 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 16750.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Telsys and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Telsys over a given investment horizon. Check out Telsys Correlation, Telsys Volatility and Telsys Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Telsys.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Telsys' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Telsys is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Telsys' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Telsys 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Telsys' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Telsys.
0.00
06/04/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 5 months and 30 days
12/01/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Telsys on June 4, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Telsys or generate 0.0% return on investment in Telsys over 180 days. Telsys is related to or competes with Palram, Shagrir Group, EN Shoham, and Shufersal. The company focuses on semiconductors, subsystems, passives, connectors, microwaves, telecomdatacom products, and others More

Telsys Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Telsys' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Telsys upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Telsys Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Telsys' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Telsys' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Telsys historical prices to predict the future Telsys' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16,19616,20016,204
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13,82513,82817,820
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15,04215,04515,049
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14,51317,11819,723
Details

Telsys Backtested Returns

Telsys owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0172, which indicates the firm had a -0.0172% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Telsys exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Telsys' Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.03), variance of 9.78, and Coefficient Of Variation of (2,257) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of -0.94, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As the market becomes more bullish, returns on owning Telsys are expected to decrease slowly. On the other hand, during market turmoil, Telsys is expected to outperform it slightly. At this point, Telsys has a negative expected return of -0.0611%. Please make sure to validate Telsys' maximum drawdown, kurtosis, day median price, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and daily balance of power , to decide if Telsys performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.26  

Poor predictability

Telsys has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Telsys time series from 4th of June 2024 to 2nd of September 2024 and 2nd of September 2024 to 1st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Telsys price movement. The serial correlation of 0.26 indicates that nearly 26.0% of current Telsys price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.26
Spearman Rank Test0.03
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance555.9 K

Telsys lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Telsys stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Telsys' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Telsys returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Telsys has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Telsys regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Telsys stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Telsys stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Telsys stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Telsys Lagged Returns

When evaluating Telsys' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Telsys stock have on its future price. Telsys autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Telsys autocorrelation shows the relationship between Telsys stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Telsys.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

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Other Information on Investing in Telsys Stock

Telsys financial ratios help investors to determine whether Telsys Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Telsys with respect to the benefits of owning Telsys security.