Thomas Scott (India) Market Value

THOMASCOTT   374.20  17.81  5.00%   
Thomas Scott's market value is the price at which a share of Thomas Scott trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Thomas Scott Limited investors about its performance. Thomas Scott is trading at 374.20 as of the 16th of December 2024, a 5.00 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 356.39.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Thomas Scott Limited and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Thomas Scott over a given investment horizon. Check out Thomas Scott Correlation, Thomas Scott Volatility and Thomas Scott Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Thomas Scott.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Thomas Scott's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Thomas Scott is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Thomas Scott's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Thomas Scott 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Thomas Scott's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Thomas Scott.
0.00
11/16/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/16/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Thomas Scott on November 16, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Thomas Scott Limited or generate 0.0% return on investment in Thomas Scott over 30 days. Thomas Scott is related to or competes with Reliance Industries, Life Insurance, Indian Oil, and Oil Natural. Thomas Scott is entity of India. It is traded as Stock on NSE exchange. More

Thomas Scott Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Thomas Scott's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Thomas Scott Limited upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Thomas Scott Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Thomas Scott's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Thomas Scott's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Thomas Scott historical prices to predict the future Thomas Scott's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
336.78383.59387.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
288.26291.88411.62
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Thomas Scott. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Thomas Scott's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Thomas Scott's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Thomas Scott Limited.

Thomas Scott Limited Backtested Returns

Thomas Scott appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Thomas Scott Limited owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.19, which indicates the firm had a 0.19% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By inspecting Thomas Scott's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.68% is justified by implied risk. Please review Thomas Scott's Semi Deviation of 2.89, coefficient of variation of 533.11, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.144 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Thomas Scott holds a performance score of 14. The entity has a beta of 0.67, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Thomas Scott's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Thomas Scott is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Thomas Scott's treynor ratio, expected short fall, day typical price, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and daily balance of power , to make a quick decision on whether Thomas Scott's existing price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.37  

Below average predictability

Thomas Scott Limited has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Thomas Scott time series from 16th of November 2024 to 1st of December 2024 and 1st of December 2024 to 16th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Thomas Scott Limited price movement. The serial correlation of 0.37 indicates that just about 37.0% of current Thomas Scott price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.37
Spearman Rank Test0.25
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance2072.62

Thomas Scott Limited lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Thomas Scott stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Thomas Scott's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Thomas Scott returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Thomas Scott has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Thomas Scott regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Thomas Scott stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Thomas Scott stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Thomas Scott stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Thomas Scott Lagged Returns

When evaluating Thomas Scott's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Thomas Scott stock have on its future price. Thomas Scott autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Thomas Scott autocorrelation shows the relationship between Thomas Scott stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Thomas Scott Limited.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Thomas Stock

Thomas Scott financial ratios help investors to determine whether Thomas Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Thomas with respect to the benefits of owning Thomas Scott security.