Tfa Alphagen Growth Fund Market Value

TFAGX Fund  USD 11.17  0.13  1.15%   
Tfa Alphagen's market value is the price at which a share of Tfa Alphagen trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Tfa Alphagen Growth investors about its performance. Tfa Alphagen is trading at 11.17 as of the 27th of February 2025; that is 1.15 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 11.3.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Tfa Alphagen Growth and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Tfa Alphagen over a given investment horizon. Check out Tfa Alphagen Correlation, Tfa Alphagen Volatility and Tfa Alphagen Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Tfa Alphagen.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Tfa Alphagen's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tfa Alphagen is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tfa Alphagen's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Tfa Alphagen 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Tfa Alphagen's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Tfa Alphagen.
0.00
01/28/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
02/27/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Tfa Alphagen on January 28, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Tfa Alphagen Growth or generate 0.0% return on investment in Tfa Alphagen over 30 days. Tfa Alphagen is related to or competes with World Energy, Pimco Energy, Fidelity Advisor, Salient Mlp, Short Oil, and Transamerica Mlp. The Sub-Adviser seeks to achieve the funds investment objective by employing an active, risk-managed, multi-strategy inv... More

Tfa Alphagen Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Tfa Alphagen's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Tfa Alphagen Growth upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Tfa Alphagen Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Tfa Alphagen's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Tfa Alphagen's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Tfa Alphagen historical prices to predict the future Tfa Alphagen's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.1011.1712.24
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.4110.4811.55
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.9210.9912.06
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.1511.5311.92
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Tfa Alphagen. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Tfa Alphagen's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Tfa Alphagen's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Tfa Alphagen Growth.

Tfa Alphagen Growth Backtested Returns

Tfa Alphagen Growth owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0173, which indicates the fund had a -0.0173 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Tfa Alphagen Growth exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Tfa Alphagen's Coefficient Of Variation of 3991.38, semi deviation of 1.09, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0213 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of -0.0129, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Tfa Alphagen are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Tfa Alphagen is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.85  

Excellent reverse predictability

Tfa Alphagen Growth has excellent reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Tfa Alphagen time series from 28th of January 2025 to 12th of February 2025 and 12th of February 2025 to 27th of February 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Tfa Alphagen Growth price movement. The serial correlation of -0.85 indicates that around 85.0% of current Tfa Alphagen price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.85
Spearman Rank Test-0.44
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.06

Tfa Alphagen Growth lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Tfa Alphagen mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Tfa Alphagen's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Tfa Alphagen returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Tfa Alphagen has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Tfa Alphagen regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Tfa Alphagen mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Tfa Alphagen mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Tfa Alphagen mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Tfa Alphagen Lagged Returns

When evaluating Tfa Alphagen's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Tfa Alphagen mutual fund have on its future price. Tfa Alphagen autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Tfa Alphagen autocorrelation shows the relationship between Tfa Alphagen mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Tfa Alphagen Growth.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Tfa Mutual Fund

Tfa Alphagen financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tfa Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tfa with respect to the benefits of owning Tfa Alphagen security.
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