Swell Network Market Value
| SWELL Crypto | 0.03 0.0003 1.12% |
| Symbol | Swell |
Please note, there is a significant difference between Swell Network's coin value and its market price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Cryptocurrency investors typically determine Swell Network value by looking at such factors as its true mass adoption, usability, application, safety as well as its ability to resist fraud and manipulation. On the other hand, Swell Network's price is the amount at which it trades on the cryptocurrency exchange or other digital marketplace that truly represents its supply and demand.
Swell Network 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Swell Network's crypto coin what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Swell Network.
| 12/11/2024 |
| 01/10/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Swell Network on December 11, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Swell Network or generate 0.0% return on investment in Swell Network over 30 days. Swell Network is related to or competes with Staked Ether, Phala Network, EigenLayer, and Tokocrypto. Swell Network is peer-to-peer digital currency powered by the Blockchain technology.
Swell Network Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Swell Network's crypto coin current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Swell Network upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.09) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 19.39 | |||
| Value At Risk | (6.67) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.96 |
Swell Network Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Swell Network's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Swell Network's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Swell Network historical prices to predict the future Swell Network's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.05) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.23) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.29) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.81) |
Swell Network Backtested Returns
Swell Network is abnormally risky given 3 months investment horizon. Swell Network owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.12, which indicates digital coin had a 0.12% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We were able to break down twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 15.54% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use Swell Network Variance of 7.7, risk adjusted performance of (0.05), and Coefficient Of Variation of (1,288) to evaluate coin specific risk that cannot be diversified away. The entity has a beta of 0.28, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Swell Network's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Swell Network is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | -0.4 |
Poor reverse predictability
Swell Network has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Swell Network time series from 11th of December 2024 to 26th of December 2024 and 26th of December 2024 to 10th of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Swell Network price movement. The serial correlation of -0.4 indicates that just about 40.0% of current Swell Network price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.4 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.72 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
Swell Network lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Swell Network crypto coin's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Swell Network's crypto coin expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Swell Network returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Swell Network has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the crypto coin is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Swell Network regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Swell Network crypto coin is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Swell Network crypto coin is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Swell Network crypto coin over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Swell Network Lagged Returns
When evaluating Swell Network's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Swell Network crypto coin have on its future price. Swell Network autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Swell Network autocorrelation shows the relationship between Swell Network crypto coin current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Swell Network.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.| BTC | Bitcoin | |
| TRX | TRON | |
| BNB | Binance Coin |
Check out Swell Network Correlation, Swell Network Volatility and Investing Opportunities module to complement your research on Swell Network. You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.
Swell Network technical crypto coin analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, crypto market cycles, or different charting patterns.