Shell Plc (UK) Market Value
| SHEL Stock | 2,603 34.50 1.34% |
| Symbol | Shell |
Shell Plc 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Shell Plc's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Shell Plc.
| 12/13/2024 |
| 03/13/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Shell Plc on December 13, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Shell plc or generate 0.0% return on investment in Shell Plc over 90 days. Shell Plc is related to or competes with Nordea Bank, Bigblu Broadband, Direct Line, Berner Kantonalbank, Ecclesiastical Insurance, Aeorema Communications, and Tetragon Financial. Shell Plc is entity of United Kingdom. It is traded as Stock on LSE exchange. More
Shell Plc Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Shell Plc's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Shell plc upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.3 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1556 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 5.95 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.84) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.06 |
Shell Plc Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Shell Plc's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Shell Plc's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Shell Plc historical prices to predict the future Shell Plc's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0471 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0653 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.2251 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1371 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.4514 |
Shell plc Backtested Returns
Currently, Shell plc is very steady. Shell plc owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0453, which indicates the firm had a 0.0453 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Shell plc, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please validate Shell Plc's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0471, semi deviation of 1.2, and Coefficient Of Variation of 1872.42 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.051%. Shell Plc has a performance score of 3 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of 0.11, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Shell Plc's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Shell Plc is expected to be smaller as well. Shell plc right now has a risk of 1.13%. Please validate Shell Plc information ratio, total risk alpha, and the relationship between the coefficient of variation and jensen alpha , to decide if Shell Plc will be following its existing price patterns.
Auto-correlation | 0.01 |
Virtually no predictability
Shell plc has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Shell Plc time series from 13th of December 2024 to 27th of January 2025 and 27th of January 2025 to 13th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Shell plc price movement. The serial correlation of 0.01 indicates that just 1.0% of current Shell Plc price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.01 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.05 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 1973.89 |
Shell plc lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Shell Plc stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Shell Plc's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Shell Plc returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Shell Plc has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Shell Plc regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Shell Plc stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Shell Plc stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Shell Plc stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Shell Plc Lagged Returns
When evaluating Shell Plc's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Shell Plc stock have on its future price. Shell Plc autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Shell Plc autocorrelation shows the relationship between Shell Plc stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Shell plc.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Tools for Shell Stock Analysis
When running Shell Plc's price analysis, check to measure Shell Plc's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Shell Plc is operating at the current time. Most of Shell Plc's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Shell Plc's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Shell Plc's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Shell Plc to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.