Software Circle (UK) Market Value

SFT Stock   28.00  2.00  6.67%   
Software Circle's market value is the price at which a share of Software Circle trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Software Circle plc investors about its performance. Software Circle is trading at 28.00 as of the 12th of March 2025, a 6.67 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 28.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Software Circle plc and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Software Circle over a given investment horizon. Check out Software Circle Correlation, Software Circle Volatility and Software Circle Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Software Circle.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Software Circle's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Software Circle is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Software Circle's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Software Circle 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Software Circle's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Software Circle.
0.00
12/12/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
03/12/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Software Circle on December 12, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Software Circle plc or generate 0.0% return on investment in Software Circle over 90 days. Software Circle is related to or competes with GreenX Metals, Silvercorp Metals, Blackrock World, Cairo Communication, Gaztransport, Spirent Communications, and Gamma Communications. Software Circle is entity of United Kingdom More

Software Circle Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Software Circle's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Software Circle plc upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Software Circle Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Software Circle's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Software Circle's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Software Circle historical prices to predict the future Software Circle's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
26.0527.8329.61
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
25.2032.1633.94
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
25.5627.3329.11
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
21.2425.7430.24
Details

Software Circle plc Backtested Returns

Software Circle appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Software Circle plc owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.19, which indicates the firm had a 0.19 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Software Circle plc, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please review Software Circle's Semi Deviation of 1.02, coefficient of variation of 707.16, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1231 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Software Circle holds a performance score of 14. The entity has a beta of 0.44, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Software Circle's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Software Circle is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Software Circle's jensen alpha, potential upside, accumulation distribution, as well as the relationship between the treynor ratio and expected short fall , to make a quick decision on whether Software Circle's existing price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.93  

Excellent predictability

Software Circle plc has excellent predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Software Circle time series from 12th of December 2024 to 26th of January 2025 and 26th of January 2025 to 12th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Software Circle plc price movement. The serial correlation of 0.93 indicates that approximately 93.0% of current Software Circle price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.93
Spearman Rank Test0.9
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance4.5

Software Circle plc lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Software Circle stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Software Circle's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Software Circle returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Software Circle has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Software Circle regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Software Circle stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Software Circle stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Software Circle stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Software Circle Lagged Returns

When evaluating Software Circle's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Software Circle stock have on its future price. Software Circle autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Software Circle autocorrelation shows the relationship between Software Circle stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Software Circle plc.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Software Stock

Software Circle financial ratios help investors to determine whether Software Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Software with respect to the benefits of owning Software Circle security.